Liga MX · Apertura - 17
Santos Laguna vs Leon
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Corona, Torreon
Santos Laguna host Leon on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Liga MX); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Santos Laguna 45%, draw 28%, Leon 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Santos Laguna €1.7M, Leon €1.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Santos Laguna goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–07%
- 1–27%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Santos Laguna 1926 · Leon 1922
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Santos Laguna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2048
Leon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1993
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Santos Laguna
6th in Liga MX · 25 pts from 16
- 7 NovWAtlante FC Liga MX1938
- 1 NovWNecaxa Liga MX1936
- 26 OctLClub Tijuana Liga MX1924
- 22 OctWU.N.A.M. - Pumas Liga MX1918
- 17 OctWClub Queretaro Liga MX1865
Leon
7th in Liga MX · 23 pts from 16
- 9 NovDGuadalajara Chivas Liga MX1961
- 2 NovLCruz Azul Liga MX1945
- 24 OctDToluca Liga MX1948
- 21 OctWTigres UANL Liga MX1921
- 18 OctLClub America Liga MX1919
Season outlook
From the Liga MX simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos Laguna | 25 /16 | 26.6 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 6th |
| Leon | 23 /16 | 24.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Santos Laguna: balanced profile (how Renato Paiva plays) · Leon: balanced profile (how J. Gandolfi plays)