Primera A · Clausura - 7
Santa Fe vs Jaguares
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 01:20 UTC · Estadio El Campin, Bogota
Santa Fe host Jaguares on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Santa Fe 68%, draw 20%, Jaguares 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Santa Fe €362K, Jaguares €152K.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Primera A average of 26% this round.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Primera A): Santa Fe rank #22 of 22, Jaguares #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Santa Fe goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Santa Fe 1705 · Jaguares 1449
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.6 (Good) · Elo 1632
Jaguares · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1582
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Santa Fe
7th in Primera A · 29 pts from 19
- 18 OctLLlaneros Colombia Primera A1662
- 6 OctWIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1707
- 29 SepWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1701
- 23 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1673
- 19 SepWAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1684
Jaguares
16th in Primera A · 18 pts from 19
- 17 OctLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1451
- 11 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1415
- 3 OctLÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1443
- 27 SepLAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1422
- 22 SepLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1424
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | 29 /19 | 36.1 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7th |
| Jaguares | 18 /19 | 23.1 | 0% | 0% | 47% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Santa Fe: balanced profile (how Pablo Eduardo Repetto Aquino plays) · Jaguares: balanced profile (how Hubert Antonio Bodhert Barrios plays)