Primera A · Clausura - 18
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto
Tue 10 Nov 2026 · 00:30 UTC
Santa Fe host Deportivo Pasto on Tue 10 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Santa Fe 55%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pasto 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Santa Fe €317K, Deportivo Pasto €296K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Primera A): Santa Fe rank #20 of 22, Deportivo Pasto #4.
- Deportivo Pasto's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Santa Fe goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Santa Fe 1703 · Deportivo Pasto 1604
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.1 (Good) · Elo 1639
Deportivo Pasto · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1633
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Santa Fe
7th in Primera A · 29 pts from 19
- 22 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1646
- 18 OctLLlaneros Colombia Primera A1662
- 6 OctWIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1707
- 29 SepWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1701
- 23 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1673
Deportivo Pasto
3rd in Primera A · 34 pts from 19
- 26 OctWDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1554
- 23 OctLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1556
- 20 OctLAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1609
- 4 OctDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1594
- 25 SepLChico Colombia Primera A1623
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | 29 /19 | 36.0 | <1% | 22% | 0% | 7th |
| Deportivo Pasto | 34 /19 | 39.2 | 1% | 59% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Santa Fe: balanced profile (how P. Repetto plays) · Deportivo Pasto: balanced profile (how Jonathan Risueño plays)