Primera A · Clausura - 14
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga
Tue 27 Oct 2026 · 01:05 UTC
Santa Fe host Bucaramanga on Tue 27 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Santa Fe 43%, draw 28%, Bucaramanga 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Santa Fe €362K, Bucaramanga €466K.
- Home advantage makes Santa Fe the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
- Primera A: C. Fiermarín is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1859).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Primera A): Santa Fe rank #20 of 22, Bucaramanga #3.
- Bucaramanga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Santa Fe goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Santa Fe 1705 · Bucaramanga 1755
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Santa Fe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.6 (Good) · Elo 1632
Bucaramanga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1842
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Santa Fe
7th in Primera A · 29 pts from 19
- 18 OctLLlaneros Colombia Primera A1662
- 6 OctWIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1707
- 29 SepWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1701
- 23 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1673
- 19 SepWAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1684
Bucaramanga
13th in Primera A · 23 pts from 19
- 18 OctDAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1753
- 13 OctDÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1764
- 4 OctWJunior Colombia Primera A1745
- 26 SepWOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1710
- 20 SepWInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1696
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe | 29 /19 | 36.1 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7th |
| Bucaramanga | 23 /19 | 33.3 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Santa Fe: balanced profile (how Pablo Eduardo Repetto Aquino plays) · Bucaramanga: balanced profile (how Pablo Peirano Pardeiro plays)