Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 11
Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Santa Clara host GIL Vicente on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primeira Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Santa Clara 37%, draw 29%, GIL Vicente 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Santa Clara €930K, GIL Vicente €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Santa Clara the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Primeira Liga average of 23% this round.
- Style contrast in discipline (Primeira Liga): Santa Clara rank #18 of 18, GIL Vicente #4.
- Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Santa Clara goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Santa Clara 1730 · GIL Vicente 1795
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Santa Clara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1820
GIL Vicente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1781
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Santa Clara
4th in Primeira Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 10 OctWCasa Pia Primeira Liga1759
- 20 SepDSC Braga Primeira Liga1755
- 13 SepWArouca Primeira Liga1726
- 6 SepWRio Ave Primeira Liga1696
- 29 AugDAlverca Primeira Liga1674
GIL Vicente
6th in Primeira Liga · 14 pts from 8
- 19 OctWSC Braga Primeira Liga1761
- 9 OctWMoreirense Primeira Liga1753
- 19 SepDMaritimo Primeira Liga1755
- 13 SepLBenfica Primeira Liga1723
- 6 SepLAcademico Viseu Primeira Liga1807
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 18 /8 | 47.3 | 0% | 8% | <1% | 5th |
| GIL Vicente | 14 /8 | 47.8 | 0% | 10% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Santa Clara: direct (how Petit plays) · GIL Vicente: balanced profile (how Luís Pinto plays)