Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9
Santa Clara vs Benfica
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Santa Clara host Benfica on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Primeira Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Santa Clara 11%, draw 18%, Benfica 71%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Santa Clara €942K, Benfica €13.3M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Primeira Liga): Santa Clara rank #18 of 18, Benfica #1.
- Santa Clara are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Santa Clara goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–210%
- 0–39%
- 1–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–38%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Santa Clara 1712 · Benfica 2226
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Santa Clara · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1820
Benfica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2353
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Santa Clara
4th in Primeira Liga · 18 pts from 8
- 10 OctWCasa Pia Primeira Liga1759
- 20 SepDSC Braga Primeira Liga1755
- 13 SepWArouca Primeira Liga1726
- 6 SepWRio Ave Primeira Liga1696
- 29 AugDAlverca Primeira Liga1674
Benfica
2nd in Primeira Liga · 19 pts from 8
- 15 OctWCeltic UEFA Europa League2267
- 11 OctWVitória SC Primeira Liga2239
- 20 SepLFC Porto Primeira Liga2248
- 16 SepWAC Milan UEFA Europa League2124
- 13 SepWGIL Vicente Primeira Liga2164
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara | 18 /8 | 46.6 | 0% | 6% | 1% | 5th |
| Benfica | 19 /8 | 77.6 | 13% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Santa Clara: direct (how Petit plays) · Benfica: shot-heavy · possession-based (how Marco Alexandre Saraiva da Silva plays)