Eliteserien · Regular Season - 26
Sandefjord vs Molde
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
Sandefjord host Molde on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sandefjord 22%, draw 26%, Molde 51%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sandefjord €464K, Molde €1.0M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sandefjord goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sandefjord 1529 · Molde 1735
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sandefjord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1448
Molde · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1767
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sandefjord
13th in Eliteserien · 24 pts from 23
- 18 OctLLillestrom Eliteserien1487
- 10 OctDRosenborg Eliteserien1489
- 20 SepWStart Eliteserien1505
- 14 SepLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1503
- 4 SepDViking Eliteserien1558
Molde
3rd in Eliteserien · 40 pts from 23
- 18 OctWStart Eliteserien1681
- 11 OctDLillestrom Eliteserien1685
- 19 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1669
- 13 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1665
- 6 SepWKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1701
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | 24 /23 | 32.8 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 11th |
| Molde | 40 /23 | 49.4 | 0% | 61% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sandefjord: balanced profile (how A. Tegström plays) · Molde: possession-based (how Sindre Tjelmeland plays)