Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24
Sandefjord 0–2 Lillestrom
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Sandefjord Arena, Sandefjord
SandefjordTeam 1499
LillestromTeam 1564Match story
Sandefjord · draw · LillestromBefore kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%
Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Thomas Lehne Olsen 13'
- Eric Kitolano 24'
We gave Lillestrom 39% to win: they did.
- 13'Thomas Lehne Olsen 1536 +33 assist Frederik Elkaer 1576 +36
Lillestrom:Thomas Lehne Olsen 1536 +33 assist Frederik Elkaer 1576 +36 - 24'Eric Kitolano 1636 +19 assist Sturla Ottesen 1721 +21
Lillestrom:Eric Kitolano 1636 +19 assist Sturla Ottesen 1721 +21 - Alf Lukas Noel Gronneberg 1199 −8* for Elia Hadaya 1602 −331'
Sandefjord:Alf Lukas Noel Gronneberg 1199 −8* for Elia Hadaya 1602 −3 - 45'Felix Vá 1632 +11
Lillestrom:Felix Vá 1632 +11 - 59'Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil 1584 +5 for Henrik Molvaer Melland 1463 +40
Lillestrom:Winston Robin Yaw Paintsil 1584 +5 for Henrik Molvaer Melland 1463 +40 - 59'Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim – for Eric Kitolano 1636 +19
Lillestrom:Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim – for Eric Kitolano 1636 +19 - Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo 1624 −11* for Sebastian Holm Mathisen 1178 062'
Sandefjord:Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo 1624 −11* for Sebastian Holm Mathisen 1178 0 - Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen 1426 0 for Evangelos Patoulidis 1548 −1062'
Sandefjord:Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen 1426 0 for Evangelos Patoulidis 1548 −10 - Fredrik Carson Pedersen 1608 −2 for Martin Hellan 1378 072'
Sandefjord:Fredrik Carson Pedersen 1608 −2 for Martin Hellan 1378 0 - Vetle Walle Egeli 1594 −2 for Gustav Højbjerg 1364 072'
Sandefjord:Vetle Walle Egeli 1594 −2 for Gustav Højbjerg 1364 0 - 75'Daniel Bassi 1468 +3 for Frederik Elkaer 1576 +36
Lillestrom:Daniel Bassi 1468 +3 for Frederik Elkaer 1576 +36 - 75'Fredrik Gulbrandsen 1614 −4 for Thomas Lehne Olsen 1536 +33
Lillestrom:Fredrik Gulbrandsen 1614 −4 for Thomas Lehne Olsen 1536 +33 - 90+1'Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim –
Lillestrom:Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim –
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(Sandefjord · draw · Lillestrom)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sandefjord €485K, Lillestrom €541K.
- Sandefjord were without 1 expected starter: T. Børkeeiet (1635).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sandefjord
12th in Eliteserien · 24 pts from 22
- 10 OctDRosenborg Eliteserien1489
- 20 SepWStart Eliteserien1505
- 14 SepLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1503
- 4 SepDViking Eliteserien1558
- 30 AugDBrann Eliteserien1548
Lillestrom
6th in Eliteserien · 33 pts from 22
- 15 OctDSparta Praha UEFA Europa League1583
- 11 OctDMolde Eliteserien1576
- 20 SepLViking Eliteserien1577
- 17 SepLTorreense UEFA Europa League1618
- 12 SepWValerenga Eliteserien1595
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | 24 /22 | 34.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 10th |
| Lillestrom | 33 /22 | 44.0 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sandefjord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1448

Lillestrom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1621
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sandefjord: balanced profile (how Andreas Ulrik Tegström plays) · Lillestrom: balanced profile (how Hans Erik Ødegaard plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.