Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16
San Lorenzo vs Platense
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
San Lorenzo host Platense on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: San Lorenzo 45%, draw 28%, Platense 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: San Lorenzo €826K, Platense €645K.
- Platense's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. San Lorenzo goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: San Lorenzo 1715 · Platense 1685
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 1732

Platense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1717
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
San Lorenzo
7th in Liga Profesional · 22 pts from 16
- 18 OctWEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1676
- 11 OctWDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 3 OctLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 20 SepLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 13 SepDIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1706
Platense
12th in Liga Profesional · 16 pts from 16
- 23 OctWGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1663
- 17 OctLLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1677
- 11 OctDArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1658
- 5 OctDVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1660
- 20 SepLNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1652
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 22 /16 | 26.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| Platense | 16 /16 | 18.8 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
San Lorenzo: balanced profile (how R. Insúa plays) · Platense: direct (how Martín Palermo plays)