Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 22:15 UTC · Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
San Lorenzo host Newells Old Boys on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: San Lorenzo 42%, draw 29%, Newells Old Boys 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: San Lorenzo €786K, Newells Old Boys €1.0M.
- Home advantage makes San Lorenzo the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. San Lorenzo goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: San Lorenzo 1716 · Newells Old Boys 1722
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Elite) · Elo 1732
Newells Old Boys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1818
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
San Lorenzo
7th in Liga Profesional · 22 pts from 16
- 18 OctWEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1676
- 11 OctWDeportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional1637
- 3 OctLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 20 SepLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 13 SepDIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1706
Newells Old Boys
14th in Liga Profesional · 15 pts from 16
- 12 OctLGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1755
- 3 OctDLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1751
- 20 SepWPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1727
- 11 SepDVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 6 SepDRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1728
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 22 /16 | 26.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| Newells Old Boys | 15 /16 | 21.0 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 25th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
San Lorenzo: balanced profile (how Rubén Darío Insúa plays) · Newells Old Boys: balanced profile (how Frank Darío Kudelka plays)