Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
San Lorenzo 1–0 Deportivo Riestra
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
San LorenzoTeam 1648
Deportivo RiestraTeam 1595Match story
San Lorenzo · draw · Deportivo RiestraBefore kick-off: 46% · 29% · 25%
Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave San Lorenzo 46% to win: they did.
- Alexis·Cuello 1798 +520'
San Lorenzo:Alexis·Cuello 1798 +5 - 41'Alexander Díaz 1652 −14*
Deportivo Riestra:Alexander Díaz 1652 −14* - Emiliano Amor 1723 +1*42'
San Lorenzo:Emiliano Amor 1723 +1* - Agustín Ladstatter 1535 +3* for Gonzalo Alassia 1407 +6*45'
San Lorenzo:Agustín Ladstatter 1535 +3* for Gonzalo Alassia 1407 +6* - 52'Braian Sánchez 1549 −5
Deportivo Riestra:Braian Sánchez 1549 −5 - 54'Ángel Almada 1510 0 for Braian Sánchez 1549 −5
Deportivo Riestra:Ángel Almada 1510 0 for Braian Sánchez 1549 −5 - 58'Mariano Bracamonte 1623 −4
Deportivo Riestra:Mariano Bracamonte 1623 −4 - Gustavo Del Prete 1700 +9 for Alexis·Cuello 1798 +560'
San Lorenzo:Gustavo Del Prete 1700 +9 for Alexis·Cuello 1798 +5 - Teo Rodríguez Pagano 1615 +49 assist Rodrigo Auzmendi 1687 +3867'
San Lorenzo:Teo Rodríguez Pagano 1615 +49 assist Rodrigo Auzmendi 1687 +38 - 70'Gabriel Obredor 1242 −2 for Antony Alonso 1664 −7
Deportivo Riestra:Gabriel Obredor 1242 −2 for Antony Alonso 1664 −7 - 70'Jonathan Goitia 1589 −4 for Mariano Bracamonte 1623 −4
Deportivo Riestra:Jonathan Goitia 1589 −4 for Mariano Bracamonte 1623 −4 - 70'Tomás González 1482 0 for Alexander Díaz 1652 −14*
Deportivo Riestra:Tomás González 1482 0 for Alexander Díaz 1652 −14* - Martín Rio 1668 −3* for Facundo Gulli 1573 +1778'
San Lorenzo:Martín Rio 1668 −3* for Facundo Gulli 1573 +17 - 80'Nicolas Benegas 1589 −10* for Nicolás Sansotre 1611 −8
Deportivo Riestra:Nicolas Benegas 1589 −10* for Nicolás Sansotre 1611 −8 - 88'Ángel Almada 1510 0
Deportivo Riestra:Ángel Almada 1510 0 - Rodrigo Auzmendi 1687 +3889'
San Lorenzo:Rodrigo Auzmendi 1687 +38 - Ezequiel Herrera 1804 −7* for Rodrigo Auzmendi 1687 +3890+1'
San Lorenzo:Ezequiel Herrera 1804 −7* for Rodrigo Auzmendi 1687 +38
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 46% · 29% · 25%(San Lorenzo · draw · Deportivo Riestra)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 11%.
- Average value of the starting XI: San Lorenzo €699K, Deportivo Riestra €493K.
- All 11 of Deportivo Riestra's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
San Lorenzo
7th in Liga Profesional · 22 pts from 16
- 3 OctLDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 20 SepLBoca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional1721
- 13 SepDIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1706
- 5 SepWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1708
- 1 SepLInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1705
Deportivo Riestra
15th in Liga Profesional · 11 pts from 16
- 5 OctDCentral Cordoba de Santiago Argentina Liga Profesional1640
- 19 SepDGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1626
- 14 SepLLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1666
- 4 SepDPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1646
- 29 AugDVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1671
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 22 /16 | 28.6 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 13th |
| Deportivo Riestra | 11 /16 | 16.7 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 28th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
San Lorenzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1676

Deportivo Riestra · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1680
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
San Lorenzo: balanced profile (how Rubén Darío Insúa plays) · Deportivo Riestra: direct · low-volume (how Guillermo Duró plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.