Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 21:00 UTC · PayPal Park
San Jose Earthquakes host Real Salt Lake on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: San Jose Earthquakes 56%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: San Jose Earthquakes €2.5M, Real Salt Lake €1.2M.
- San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. San Jose Earthquakes goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: San Jose Earthquakes 1947 · Real Salt Lake 1816
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
San Jose Earthquakes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2103
Real Salt Lake · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1939
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
San Jose Earthquakes
4th in MLS · 48 pts from 30
- 18 OctDNashville SC MLS2010
- 15 OctDReal Salt Lake MLS1904
- 11 OctDColorado Rapids MLS1943
- 27 SepWPortland Timbers MLS1924
- 19 SepDLos Angeles FC MLS2029
Real Salt Lake
10th in MLS · 36 pts from 30
- 18 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1809
- 15 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1810
- 10 OctLPhiladelphia Union MLS1838
- 27 SepWNew England Revolution MLS1803
- 24 SepLSeattle Sounders MLS1801
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 48 /30 | 54.1 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 8th |
| Real Salt Lake | 36 /30 | 40.6 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
San Jose Earthquakes: balanced profile (how Bruce Arena plays) · Real Salt Lake: balanced profile (how Pablo Andrés Mastroeni plays)