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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Avaya Stadium, San Jose

San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose EarthquakesTeam 1978
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Nashville SC crestNashville SCTeam 2051

Match story

San Jose Earthquakes · draw · Nashville SC

Before kick-off: 39% · 28% · 33%

Live chances: San Jose Earthquakes 6%, draw 89%, Nashville SC 5% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 33%2' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 33%3' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 33%4' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 33%5' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 33%6' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 33%7' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 32%8' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 32%9' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 32%10' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 32%11' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 32%12' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 32%13' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 29%, Nashville SC 32%14' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 32%15' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 32%16' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 32%17' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 32%18' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 32%19' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 32%20' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 32%21' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 31%, Nashville SC 32%22' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 31%, Nashville SC 32%23' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 31%, Nashville SC 32%24' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 31%, Nashville SC 32%25' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 31%, Nashville SC 32%26' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 31%, Nashville SC 32%27' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 32%, Nashville SC 31%28' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 32%, Nashville SC 31%29' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 32%, Nashville SC 31%30' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 32%, Nashville SC 31%31' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 36%, draw 32%, Nashville SC 31%32' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 36%, draw 33%, Nashville SC 31%33' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 36%, draw 33%, Nashville SC 31%34' · 0–0 · San Jose Earthquakes 36%, draw 33%, Nashville SC 31%35' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 18%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 56%36' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 18%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 56%37' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 17%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 57%38' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 17%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 57%39' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 17%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 57%40' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 17%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 57%41' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 16%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 57%42' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 16%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 58%43' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 16%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 58%44' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 16%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 58%45' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 15%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 58%45+1' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 15%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 59%45+2' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 15%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 59%45+3' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 15%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 59%45+4' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 14%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 59%HT · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 14%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 59%47' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 14%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 60%48' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 14%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 60%50' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 13%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 61%51' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 13%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 61%52' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 13%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 61%54' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 12%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 62%55' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 12%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 63%56' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 11%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 63%57' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 11%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 63%58' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 10%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 64%60' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 10%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 65%61' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 9%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 65%62' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 9%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 66%64' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 8%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 67%65' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 8%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 67%66' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 8%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 68%67' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 7%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 68%68' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 7%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 69%69' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 7%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 69%70' · 0–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 6%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 70%71' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 25%, draw 53%, Nashville SC 22%72' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 24%, draw 54%, Nashville SC 22%73' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 24%, draw 55%, Nashville SC 21%74' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 23%, draw 56%, Nashville SC 21%75' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 23%, draw 57%, Nashville SC 20%76' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 22%, draw 58%, Nashville SC 20%77' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 21%, draw 59%, Nashville SC 19%78' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 21%, draw 61%, Nashville SC 19%79' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 20%, draw 62%, Nashville SC 18%80' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 19%, draw 63%, Nashville SC 17%81' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 19%, draw 65%, Nashville SC 17%82' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 18%, draw 66%, Nashville SC 16%83' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 17%, draw 68%, Nashville SC 15%84' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 16%, draw 69%, Nashville SC 15%85' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 15%, draw 71%, Nashville SC 14%86' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 14%, draw 73%, Nashville SC 13%87' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 13%, draw 74%, Nashville SC 12%88' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 12%, draw 76%, Nashville SC 11%89' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 11%, draw 79%, Nashville SC 10%90' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 10%, draw 81%, Nashville SC 9%90+1' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 9%, draw 83%, Nashville SC 8%90+2' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 7%, draw 86%, Nashville SC 7%90+3' · 1–1 · San Jose Earthquakes 6%, draw 89%, Nashville SC 5%

Last reading, 90+3': 6% · 89% · 5%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave San Jose Earthquakes 39% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 28'Nashville SC:Shakur Mohammed 1598 +3
  2. 34'Nashville SC:Hany Mukhtar 2068 +1
  3. 39'San Jose Earthquakes:Beau Leroux 2103 −2
  4. 45'Nashville SC:Elias Saad 2034 +2 for Shakur Mohammed 1598 +3
  5. 45+3'San Jose Earthquakes:Preston Judd 1985 −2
  6. 67'San Jose Earthquakes:Ousseni Bouda 2041 −1 for Timo Werner 2121 −4
  7. 70'San Jose Earthquakes:Preston Judd 1985 −2 assist Eduard Löwen 1942 −2
  8. 72'Nashville SC:Edvard Sandvik Tagseth 2053 +1 for Patrick Yazbek 2032 +1
  9. 72'Nashville SC: Reed Baker-Whiting 2077 0 for Daniel Lovitz 1865 −1
  10. 76'San Jose Earthquakes:Nick Fernandez 1592 0 for Jamar Ricketts 1903 0
  11. 76'San Jose Earthquakes:Paul Marie 1630 −3 for Preston Judd 1985 −2
  12. 79'Nashville SC:Warren Madrigal 1904 0 for Cristian Espinoza 2042 −2
  13. 86'San Jose Earthquakes:Max Floriani 1674 0 for Jack Jasinski 1805 0
  14. 86'San Jose Earthquakes:Ian Harkes 1896 −3 for Ronaldo Vieira 2030 −2
  15. 90'San Jose Earthquakes:Ian Harkes 1896 −3

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-3-2Formations4-2-3-1
GA. Gunn2079−2
DJack Jasinski18050
DD. Munie2123−2
DD. Romney1926−5
DR. Roberts2024−1
DJ. Ricketts19030
MBeau Leroux2103−2
MR. Vieira2030−2
ME. Löwen1942−2
FP. Judd1985−2
FT. Werner2121−4
CB. Arena2093−3
GB. Schwake2069+2
DA. Najar20060
DJ. Palacios20780
DM. Woledzi2119+3
DD. Lovitz1865−1
MP. Yazbek2032+1
MM. Corcoran2004+2
MC. Espinoza2042−2
MH. Mukhtar2068+1
MS. Mohammed1598+3
FS. Surridge2062+1
CB. Callaghan2088+3
Before kick-off: 39% · 28% · 33%(San Jose Earthquakes · draw · Nashville SC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: San Jose Earthquakes €2.4M, Nashville SC €2.0M.
  • Home advantage made San Jose Earthquakes the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • Nashville SC's expected eleven was in form: average +3.0 over 180 days.
  • San Jose Earthquakes were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
  • Nashville SC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

San Jose Earthquakes

4th in MLS · 47 pts from 29

  • 15 OctDReal Salt Lake 1904
  • 11 OctDColorado Rapids 1943
  • 27 SepWPortland Timbers 1924
  • 19 SepDLos Angeles FC 2029
  • 13 SepWHouston Dynamo 1990

Nashville SC

1st in MLS · 66 pts from 29

  • 15 OctWSporting Kansas City 2045
  • 11 OctWAustin 2026
  • 27 SepWToronto FC 1996
  • 20 SepWChicago Fire 1994
  • 12 SepDInter Miami 1985

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
San Jose Earthquakes47 /2954.60%9%0%8th
Nashville SC66 /2974.0100%100%0%1st
San Jose Earthquakes
Nashville SC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux

San Jose Earthquakes · +4.1 (Good) · Elo 2105

J. Palacios
J. Palacios

Nashville SC · +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 2078

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Bruce Arena

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Brian Joseph Callaghan II

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

San Jose Earthquakes: balanced profile (how Bruce Arena plays) · Nashville SC: balanced profile (how Brian Joseph Callaghan II plays)