Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · PayPal Park, San Jose
San Jose Earthquakes host Colorado Rapids on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: San Jose Earthquakes 50%, draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: San Jose Earthquakes €2.5M, Colorado Rapids €2.1M.
- San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. San Jose Earthquakes goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: San Jose Earthquakes 1947 · Colorado Rapids 1884
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
San Jose Earthquakes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2103
Colorado Rapids · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1985
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
San Jose Earthquakes
4th in MLS · 48 pts from 30
- 18 OctDNashville SC MLS2010
- 15 OctDReal Salt Lake MLS1904
- 11 OctDColorado Rapids MLS1943
- 27 SepWPortland Timbers MLS1924
- 19 SepDLos Angeles FC MLS2029
Colorado Rapids
9th in MLS · 39 pts from 30
- 18 OctDPortland Timbers MLS1877
- 15 OctDMinnesota United FC MLS1880
- 11 OctDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1895
- 27 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1885
- 20 SepDSeattle Sounders MLS1899
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 48 /30 | 54.1 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 8th |
| Colorado Rapids | 39 /30 | 43.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
San Jose Earthquakes: balanced profile (how Bruce Arena plays) · Colorado Rapids: balanced profile (how Matt Wells plays)