Süper Lig · Regular Season - 7
Samsunspor 0–3 Trabzonspor
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
SamsunsporTeam 1851
TrabzonsporTeam 2129Match story
Samsunspor · draw · TrabzonsporBefore kick-off: 23% · 27% · 50%
Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- E. Muci 28'
- C. Nwaiwu 39'
- Franculino 40'
We gave Trabzonspor 50% to win: they did.
- L. Tomasson 2018 −127'
Samsunspor:L. Tomasson 2018 −12 - Y. Kayan 1941 −23* for C. Yuksel 1942 −11*27'
Samsunspor:Y. Kayan 1941 −23* for C. Yuksel 1942 −11* - 28'E. Muci 2263 +12 assist M. Eskihellac 2257 +10*
Trabzonspor:E. Muci 2263 +12 assist M. Eskihellac 2257 +10* - 39'C. Nwaiwu 2229 +20*
Trabzonspor:C. Nwaiwu 2229 +20* - 40'Franculino 2123 +22* assist M. Salah 2297 +3*
Trabzonspor:Franculino 2123 +22* assist M. Salah 2297 +3* - T. Fink41'
Samsunspor:T. Fink - 43'M. Kabasakal 1785 +3*
Trabzonspor:M. Kabasakal 1785 +3* - E. Watt 1758 −8*44'
Samsunspor:E. Watt 1758 −8* - F. Kaya 1771 −8* for A. Sekongo 1672 −8*46'
Samsunspor:F. Kaya 1771 −8* for A. Sekongo 1672 −8* - 46'O. Tufan 2100 +9* for E. Muci 2263 +12
Trabzonspor:O. Tufan 2100 +9* for E. Muci 2263 +12 - O. Ohlenschlaeger 1615 −8* for E. Watt 1758 −8*66'
Samsunspor:O. Ohlenschlaeger 1615 −8* for E. Watt 1758 −8* - E. Tavsan 1918 −9* for T. Coulibaly 1898 −11*66'
Samsunspor:E. Tavsan 1918 −9* for T. Coulibaly 1898 −11* - 71'S. Lopes Cabral 1910 +5* for M. Eskihellac 2257 +10*
Trabzonspor:S. Lopes Cabral 1910 +5* for M. Eskihellac 2257 +10* - 71'C. Ozkacar 1912 +5* for Franculino 2123 +22*
Trabzonspor:C. Ozkacar 1912 +5* for Franculino 2123 +22* - 77'P. Onuachu 2139 −9* for M. Salah 2297 +3*
Trabzonspor:P. Onuachu 2139 −9* for M. Salah 2297 +3* - A. Sousa 1760 −8* for J. Mendes 1968 −16*79'
Samsunspor:A. Sousa 1760 −8* for J. Mendes 1968 −16* - 84'T. Jabol-Folcarelli 2167 −7* for A. Simsir 2091 +40
Trabzonspor:T. Jabol-Folcarelli 2167 −7* for A. Simsir 2091 +40
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 23% · 27% · 50%(Samsunspor · draw · Trabzonspor)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–3 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Samsunspor €1.9M, Trabzonspor €6.1M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Süper Lig): Samsunspor ranked #18 of 18, Trabzonspor #3.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Samsunspor
16th in Süper Lig · 4 pts from 6
- 20 SepLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1887
- 12 SepLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1929
- 6 SepLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1892
- 30 AugLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1928
- 22 AugWRizespor Turkey Super Lig1900
Trabzonspor
7th in Süper Lig · 10 pts from 6
- 19 SepWGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig2060
- 12 SepLKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig2136
- 6 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2153
- 31 AugLAmed Turkey Super Lig2088
- 27 AugLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League2070
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 4 /6 | 40.2 | 0% | 1% | 18% | 14th |
| Trabzonspor | 10 /6 | 59.7 | 3% | 72% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Samsunspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1953

Trabzonspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2155
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Samsunspor: balanced profile (how Thorsten Fink plays) · Trabzonspor: possession-based (how Hüseyin Çimşir plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.