Süper Lig · Regular Season - 11
Samsunspor vs Konyaspor
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Samsunspor host Konyaspor on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Samsunspor 42%, draw 29%, Konyaspor 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Samsunspor €1.9M, Konyaspor €1.5M.
- Home advantage makes Samsunspor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Samsunspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Samsunspor 1868 · Konyaspor 1881
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Samsunspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1942
Konyaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1928
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Samsunspor
17th in Süper Lig · 4 pts from 8
- 18 OctLKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1857
- 10 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1879
- 20 SepLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1887
- 12 SepLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1929
- 6 SepLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1892
Konyaspor
16th in Süper Lig · 5 pts from 8
- 17 OctLAmed Turkey Super Lig1899
- 11 OctDBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1931
- 18 SepDKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1932
- 12 SepWTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1904
- 5 SepLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1896
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 4 /8 | 36.7 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 16th |
| Konyaspor | 5 /8 | 38.2 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Samsunspor: balanced profile (how Thorsten Fink plays) · Konyaspor: balanced profile (how İlhan Palut plays)