Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9
Samsunspor vs Amed
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu, Samsun
Samsunspor host Amed on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Samsunspor 40%, draw 29%, Amed 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Samsunspor €1.7M, Amed €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Samsunspor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Süper Lig): Samsunspor rank #16 of 18, Amed #2.
- Amed are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Samsunspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Samsunspor 1862 · Amed 1905
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Samsunspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1942
Amed · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1974
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Samsunspor
17th in Süper Lig · 4 pts from 8
- 18 OctLKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1857
- 10 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1879
- 20 SepLErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1887
- 12 SepLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1929
- 6 SepLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1892
Amed
2nd in Süper Lig · 17 pts from 8
- 17 OctWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1922
- 10 OctDGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1918
- 20 SepWBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1873
- 13 SepWBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1874
- 6 SepDKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1853
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 4 /8 | 36.4 | 0% | 0% | 34% | 17th |
| Amed | 17 /8 | 51.0 | 0% | 9% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Samsunspor: balanced profile (how Thorsten Fink plays) · Amed: possession-based · creative (how Besnik Hasi plays)