Serie B · Regular Season - 7
Sampdoria 1–2 Arezzo
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Luigi Ferraris, Genoa
SampdoriaTeam 1787
ArezzoTeam 1464- Alessandro Arena 15'
- Luca Chierico 60'
We gave Sampdoria 69% to win: Arezzo won.
- Liam Henderson 1717 −32'
Sampdoria:Liam Henderson 1717 −3 - Liam Henderson 1717 −3 assist Yari Verschaeren 1896 −59'
Sampdoria:Liam Henderson 1717 −3 assist Yari Verschaeren 1896 −5 - 12'Luca Chierico 1378 +231
Arezzo:Luca Chierico 1378 +231 - 15'Alessandro Arena 1718 +89 assist Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1350 +76
Arezzo:Alessandro Arena 1718 +89 assist Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1350 +76 - 60'Luca Chierico 1378 +231
Arezzo:Luca Chierico 1378 +231 - Gennaro Tutino 1627 −2 for Tobias Lauritsen 1801 −162'
Sampdoria:Gennaro Tutino 1627 −2 for Tobias Lauritsen 1801 −1 - Fabio Depaoli 1694 −2 for Liam Henderson 1717 −362'
Sampdoria:Fabio Depaoli 1694 −2 for Liam Henderson 1717 −3 - 64'Leonardo Mancuso 1581 +8 for Alberto Cerri 1631 +28
Arezzo:Leonardo Mancuso 1581 +8 for Alberto Cerri 1631 +28 - 64'Gennaro·Iaccarino 1730 −1* for Luca Chierico 1378 +231
Arezzo:Gennaro·Iaccarino 1730 −1* for Luca Chierico 1378 +231 - 66'Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1350 +76
Arezzo:Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1350 +76 - Bernardo Corradi68'
Sampdoria:Bernardo Corradi - 71'Andrea Cagnano 1675 −2* for Samuele Righetti 1463 +59
Arezzo:Andrea Cagnano 1675 −2* for Samuele Righetti 1463 +59 - 71'Artur Ioniță 1482 +28 for Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1350 +76
Arezzo:Artur Ioniță 1482 +28 for Shaka Mawuli Eklu 1350 +76 - Kevin Mbabu 1909 −11* for Alessandro Di Pardo 1826 −176'
Sampdoria:Kevin Mbabu 1909 −11* for Alessandro Di Pardo 1826 −1 - Yann Karamoh for Antoine Makoumbou 1937 −877'
Sampdoria:Yann Karamoh for Antoine Makoumbou 1937 −8 - 80'Emiliano Pattarello 1381 +24 for Alessandro Arena 1718 +89
Arezzo:Emiliano Pattarello 1381 +24 for Alessandro Arena 1718 +89 - Alex Ferrari 1554 −4 for Luca Ravanelli 2037 −31*85'
Sampdoria:Alex Ferrari 1554 −4 for Luca Ravanelli 2037 −31* - Filippo Delli Carri 1814 −189'
Sampdoria:Filippo Delli Carri 1814 −1 - 90+2'Christian Bucchi
Arezzo:Christian Bucchi
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 69% · 19% · 12%(Sampdoria · draw · Arezzo)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 1–2 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sampdoria €1.9M, Arezzo €320K.
- Draw chance was 20%, below the Serie B average of 27% this round.
- All 11 of Sampdoria's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sampdoria
18th in Serie B · 4 pts from 6
- 9 OctLAvellino Italy Serie B1824
- 19 SepWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1801
- 13 SepLMantova Italy Serie B1786
- 7 SepLPalermo Italy Serie B1817
- 29 AugLJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1817
Arezzo
15th in Serie B · 7 pts from 6
- 10 OctDCremonese Italy Serie B1462
- 20 SepLSudtirol Italy Serie B1475
- 11 SepWEmpoli Italy Serie B1430
- 6 SepLHellas Verona Italy Serie B1465
- 30 AugLPalermo Italy Serie B1465
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 4 /6 | 57.7 | 1% | 32% | 1% | 5th |
| Arezzo | 7 /6 | 38.5 | 0% | <1% | 59% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sampdoria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1797

Arezzo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1629
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.