Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 33
Samgurali vs FC Iberia 1999
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 10:30 UTC · 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Samgurali host FC Iberia 1999 on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Erovnuli Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Samgurali 28%, draw 28%, FC Iberia 1999 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Samgurali €169K, FC Iberia 1999 €329K.
- Erovnuli Liga: G. Makaridze is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1570).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Samgurali goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Samgurali 1369 · FC Iberia 1999 1552
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Iberia 1999 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1643
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Samgurali
7th in Erovnuli Liga · 39 pts from 32
- 7 NovLRustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1338
- 31 OctDSpaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga1371
- 24 OctLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1344
- 17 OctWMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1397
- 11 OctWGagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga1380
FC Iberia 1999
2nd in Erovnuli Liga · 59 pts from 32
- 9 NovWGagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga1561
- 5 NovLFC Copenhagen UEFA Conference League1555
- 31 OctDDinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1553
- 26 OctWTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1547
- 22 OctDMjallby AIF UEFA Conference League1541
Season outlook
From the Erovnuli Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samgurali | 39 /32 | 43.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7th |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 59 /32 | 65.7 | 31% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –