League Two · Regular Season - 15
Salford City vs Northampton
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Salford City host Northampton on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Salford City 58%, draw 24%, Northampton 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Salford City €517K, Northampton €300K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of League Two matchday 15: 206 points.
- League Two: W. Norris is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1914).
- League Two: O. Dale is the highest-rated forward (1914).
- Style contrast in chance creation (League Two): Salford City rank #2 of 25, Northampton #22.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Salford City goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Salford City 1854 · Northampton 1648
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Salford City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 (Good) · Elo 1799
Northampton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1782
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Salford City
1st in League Two · 28 pts from 13
- 26 OctWWalsall England League Two1845
- 20 OctWBristol Rovers England League Two1814
- 17 OctWCrawley Town England League Two1811
- 10 OctWCheltenham England League Two1804
- 6 OctDAccrington ST England EFL Trophy1692
Northampton
19th in League Two · 13 pts from 11
- 24 OctWColchester England League Two1620
- 20 OctLTranmere England League Two1609
- 17 OctWGrimsby England League Two1529
- 10 OctDYork England League Two1523
- 6 OctLCambridge United England EFL Trophy1484
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 28 /13 | 89.2 | 81% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Northampton | 13 /11 | 60.2 | <1% | 7% | 9% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Salford City: dribble-heavy (how Peter Cklamovski plays) · Northampton: direct (how Chris Hogg plays)