League Two · Regular Season - 14
Salford City vs Exeter City
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Salford City host Exeter City on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Salford City 60%, draw 23%, Exeter City 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Salford City €479K, Exeter City €269K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of League Two matchday 14: 225 points.
- League Two: T. Allen is the highest-rated defender (1956).
- Style contrast in attacking (League Two): Salford City rank #1 of 24, Exeter City #21.
- Salford City are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Salford City goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Salford City 1821 · Exeter City 1596
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Salford City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1781
Exeter City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1726
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Salford City
1st in League Two · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctWCrawley Town England League Two1811
- 10 OctWCheltenham England League Two1804
- 6 OctDAccrington ST England EFL Trophy1692
- 3 OctWFleetwood Town England League Two1802
- 26 SepWOldham England League Two1782
Exeter City
16th in League Two · 13 pts from 11
- 17 OctDColchester England League Two1603
- 10 OctWShrewsbury England League Two1571
- 6 OctDOxford United England EFL Trophy1528
- 3 OctWRotherham England League Two1542
- 26 SepLBristol Rovers England League Two1556
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | 22 /11 | 85.1 | 65% | 95% | 0% | 1st |
| Exeter City | 13 /11 | 57.7 | <1% | 3% | 13% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Salford City: dribble-heavy (how Peter Cklamovski plays) · Exeter City: balanced profile (how Matthew James Taylor plays)