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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8

Saint Etienne 2–0 Rodez

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne

Saint Etienne crestSaint EtienneTeam 1853
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Rodez crestRodezTeam 1646

We gave Saint Etienne 60% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Saint Etienne:Thierno Ballo 1994 +7* assist Jakob Breum 1886 +12*
  2. 27'Rodez:Ryan Ponti 1425 −8* for Luzolo Vangi 1427 −8*
  3. 37'Rodez:Jordan Mendes 1793 −14*
  4. 45+2'Rodez:Mathis Saka 1727 −8*
  5. 55'Saint Etienne:Augustine Boakye 1886 +13* assist Jakob Breum 1886 +12*
  6. 66'Saint Etienne:Áron Csongvai 1902 +23
  7. 68'Rodez:Mathis Touho 1335 −8* for Nachon Nsingi 1563 −8*
  8. 68'Rodez:Kelian Nsona 1690 −8* for Steven Luyambula Biwa 1072 −8*
  9. 71'Saint Etienne:Joshua Duffus 1616 −4* for Irvin Cardona 1886 +6
  10. 72'Saint Etienne:Adam Baallal 1556 −4* for Jakob Breum 1886 +12*
  11. 77'Rodez:Marco Essimi 1678 −8* for Mathis Saka 1727 −8*
  12. 77'Rodez:Octave Joly 1503 −8* for Kenny Nagera 1770 −11*
  13. 79'Saint Etienne:elyes dhaoui 1585 −5* for Augustine Boakye 1886 +13*
  14. 80'Saint Etienne:Nathan Kasia Nkondo 1582 −5* for Ben Old 1806 +21*
  15. 87'Saint Etienne:I. Cathro
  16. 88'Saint Etienne:Mamour Ndiaye 1740 −7* for Gautier Larsonneur 1860 +19*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations5-3-2
GG. Larsonneur1860+19*
DK. Pedro1837+22*
DJoão Ferreira1879+17*
DS. Nair1852+20*
DB. Old1806+21*
MA. Boakye1886+13*
MM. Bernauer1872+2*
MÁ. Csongvai1902+23
MT. Ballo1994+7*
FI. Cardona1886+6
FJ. Breum1886+12*
CIan Cathro1895+8*
GQ. Braat1867−19*
DS. Luyambula Biwa1072−8*
DL. Quenabio1663−8*
DM. Magnin1812−15*
DR. Lipinski1856−18*
DL. Vungele Vangi1427−8*
MM. Saka1727−8*
MJ. Mendes1793−14*
MAntonin Cartillier1658−8*
FK. Nagera1770−11*
FN. Nsingi1563−8*
CD. Santini1813−22*
Before kick-off: 60% · 22% · 18%(Saint Etienne · draw · Rodez)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (10%); the result 2–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Saint Etienne €1.6M, Rodez €674K.
  • Style contrast in possession (Ligue 2): Saint Etienne ranked #2 of 19, Rodez #19.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Saint Etienne

1st in Ligue 2 · 16 pts from 7

  • 19 SepDMetz 1871
  • 12 SepLDunkerque 1878
  • 5 SepWMontpellier 1860
  • 31 AugWDijon 1850
  • 22 AugWGrenoble 1834

Rodez

14th in Ligue 2 · 7 pts from 7

  • 18 SepLNancy 1633
  • 11 SepLGrenoble 1680
  • 5 SepLMetz 1673
  • 28 AugDPAU 1655
  • 22 AugWNantes 1567

Season outlook

From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Saint Etienne16 /766.057%95%0%1st
Rodez7 /746.1<1%8%4%8th
Saint Etienne
Rodez

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ligue 2

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Á. Csongvai
Á. Csongvai

Saint Etienne · +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1879

L. Quenabio
L. Quenabio

Rodez · +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1670

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Ian Cathro

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Didier Santini

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Saint Etienne: balanced profile (how Ian Cathro plays) · Rodez: direct (how Didier Santini plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.