Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10
Saint Etienne vs Nantes
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Saint Etienne host Nantes on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Saint Etienne 48%, draw 27%, Nantes 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Saint Etienne €2.0M, Nantes €1.9M.
- Style contrast in possession (Ligue 2): Saint Etienne rank #2 of 19, Nantes #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Saint Etienne goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Saint Etienne 1862 · Nantes 1784
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Saint Etienne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1913
Nantes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1751
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Saint Etienne
1st in Ligue 2 · 22 pts from 9
- 17 OctWRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21876
- 10 OctWRodez France Ligue 21865
- 19 SepDMetz France Ligue 21871
- 12 SepLDunkerque France Ligue 21878
- 5 SepWMontpellier France Ligue 21860
Nantes
14th in Ligue 2 · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLDunkerque France Ligue 21793
- 10 OctDReims France Ligue 21809
- 19 SepWBoulogne France Ligue 21793
- 12 SepLSochaux France Ligue 21814
- 7 SepWNancy France Ligue 21778
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 22 /9 | 69.3 | 76% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Nantes | 8 /9 | 50.3 | 1% | 24% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Saint Etienne: balanced profile (how Ian Cathro plays) · Nantes: direct (how Grégory Poirier plays)