Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 12
Saint Etienne vs Laval
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Saint Etienne host Laval on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Saint Etienne 72%, draw 18%, Laval 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Saint Etienne €1.6M, Laval €326K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Ligue 2 matchday 12: 366 points.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Ligue 2 average of 27% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Saint Etienne goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Saint Etienne 1865 · Laval 1499
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Saint Etienne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1913
Laval · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1401
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Saint Etienne
1st in Ligue 2 · 22 pts from 9
- 17 OctWRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21876
- 10 OctWRodez France Ligue 21865
- 19 SepDMetz France Ligue 21871
- 12 SepLDunkerque France Ligue 21878
- 5 SepWMontpellier France Ligue 21860
Laval
18th in Ligue 2 · 6 pts from 9
- 16 OctDClermont Foot France Ligue 21504
- 9 OctLPAU France Ligue 21481
- 18 SepDSochaux France Ligue 21458
- 11 SepLDijon France Ligue 21509
- 4 SepLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21497
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 22 /9 | 69.6 | 74% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Laval | 6 /9 | 31.7 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Saint Etienne: balanced profile (how Ian Cathro plays) · Laval: balanced profile (how David Vignes plays)