Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 11
Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Bank Respublika Arena
Sabah FA host Şamaxı FK on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premyer Liqa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sabah FA 79%, draw 14%, Şamaxı FK 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sabah FA €1.0M, Şamaxı FK €239K.
- Draw chance 14%, below the Premyer Liqa average of 24% this round.
- K. Rossi, Cézar Henrique, David, V. Veremeev, Diogo Balau, A. Rzayev and A. Tîrcoveanu (Şamaxı FK) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sabah FA goals first.
- 2–010%
- 3–010%
- 2–18%
- 3–18%
- 4–07%
- 1–06%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: Sabah FA 1762 · Şamaxı FK 1298
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Sabah FA from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026); Şamaxı FK from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sabah FA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1878
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sabah FA
1st in Premyer Liqa · 19 pts from 7
- 20 OctLBorussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League1814
- 13 OctWSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League1785
- 10 SepLManchester United UEFA Champions League1779
- 25 AugWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1787
- 19 AugLHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1818
Şamaxı FK
6th in Premyer Liqa · 13 pts from 8
- 29 AugDQabala Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1261
- 3 MayLSabah FA Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1347
- 18 MarLAraz Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1374
- 13 MarWSumqayıt Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1367
- 8 MarDImisli FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1378
Season outlook
From the Premyer Liqa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA | 19 /7 | 71.3 | 45% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Şamaxı FK | 13 /8 | 34.1 | 0% | <1% | 45% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –