Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 9
Sabah FA vs Qarabag
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Bank Respublika Arena
Sabah FA host Qarabag on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premyer Liqa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sabah FA 32%, draw 29%, Qarabag 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sabah FA €870K, Qarabag €1.3M.
- Premyer Liqa: M. Zlomislić is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2078).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sabah FA goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sabah FA 1766 · Qarabag 1821
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sabah FA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1883
Qarabag · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1879
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sabah FA
1st in Premyer Liqa · 19 pts from 7
- 13 OctWSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League1785
- 10 SepLManchester United UEFA Champions League1779
- 25 AugWHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1787
- 19 AugLHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1818
- 11 AugWAarhus UEFA Champions League1760
Qarabag
3rd in Premyer Liqa · 17 pts from 7
- 11 OctWImisli FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1825
- 27 AugLTwente UEFA Conference League1776
- 20 AugWTwente UEFA Conference League1744
- 13 AugWDynamo Kyiv UEFA Conference League1737
- 6 AugLDynamo Kyiv UEFA Conference League1765
Season outlook
From the Premyer Liqa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA | 19 /7 | 71.5 | 45% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Qarabag | 17 /7 | 72.8 | 54% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile