Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
Sabadell vs Tenerife
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell
Sabadell host Tenerife on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sabadell 43%, draw 28%, Tenerife 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sabadell €453K, Tenerife €417K.
- Home advantage makes Sabadell the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sabadell goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sabadell 1621 · Tenerife 1636
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sabadell · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1726
Tenerife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1719
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sabadell
10th in Segunda División · 16 pts from 10
- 18 OctLBurgos Spain Segunda Division1604
- 10 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1500
- 26 SepDCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1565
- 20 SepWOviedo Spain Segunda Division1452
- 13 SepLMallorca Spain Segunda Division1485
Tenerife
13th in Segunda División · 12 pts from 9
- 12 OctDGirona Spain Segunda Division1629
- 5 OctLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1618
- 26 SepDCadiz Spain Segunda Division1590
- 19 SepLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1620
- 13 SepWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1527
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabadell | 16 /10 | 51.0 | 0% | <1% | 11% | 14th |
| Tenerife | 12 /9 | 48.8 | 0% | <1% | 19% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct