Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 30
Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Rustavi host Dinamo Tbilisi on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Erovnuli Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rustavi 31%, draw 29%, Dinamo Tbilisi 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rustavi €131K, Dinamo Tbilisi €219K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rustavi goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Rustavi 1379 · Dinamo Tbilisi 1511
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Dinamo Tbilisi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1562
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rustavi
2nd in Erovnuli Liga · 52 pts from 29
- 18 OctWTorpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1338
- 10 OctWDila Georgia Erovnuli Liga1318
- 14 SepWMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1294
- 9 SepDSpaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga1308
- 4 SepLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1320
Dinamo Tbilisi
3rd in Erovnuli Liga · 51 pts from 29
- 18 OctWSpaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga1499
- 11 OctLDinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga1514
- 19 SepWSamgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga1483
- 14 SepWGagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga1455
- 10 SepDMeshakhte Georgia Erovnuli Liga1466
Season outlook
From the Erovnuli Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rustavi | 52 /29 | 61.3 | 8% | 99% | 0% | 4th |
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 51 /29 | 62.2 | 15% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –