HNL · Regular Season - 12
Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · SC Rudes, Zagreb
Rudes host Dinamo Zagreb on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (HNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rudes 10%, draw 18%, Dinamo Zagreb 72%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rudes €262K, Dinamo Zagreb €3.8M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of HNL matchday 12: 532 points.
- Draw chance 18%, below the HNL average of 25% this round.
- HNL: D. Kotarski is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2054).
- Style contrast in attacking (HNL): Rudes rank #11 of 11, Dinamo Zagreb #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rudes goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–29%
- 0–39%
- 1–18%
- 1–38%
- 0–18%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Rudes 1488 · Dinamo Zagreb 2020
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rudes · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1538
Dinamo Zagreb · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2075
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rudes
9th in HNL · 7 pts from 10
- 16 OctLHNK Rijeka HNL1490
- 9 OctWHNK Gorica HNL1452
- 18 SepDNK Slaven Belupo HNL1453
- 13 SepLIstra 1961 HNL1478
- 6 SepLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1431
Dinamo Zagreb
2nd in HNL · 19 pts from 9
- 18 OctWNK Slaven Belupo HNL1991
- 15 OctWAnderlecht UEFA Europa League2039
- 10 OctLHNK Hajduk Split HNL1915
- 20 SepWNK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL1956
- 16 SepDHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League2002
Season outlook
From the HNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes | 7 /10 | 32.9 | 0% | <1% | 83% | 10th |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 19 /9 | 78.9 | 88% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rudes: low-block · direct (how Alen Peternac plays) · Dinamo Zagreb: creative · possession-based (how Mario Kovačević plays)