Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 18
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Luqueno
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Rubio NU host Sportivo Luqueno on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rubio NU 38%, draw 29%, Sportivo Luqueno 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rubio NU €202K, Sportivo Luqueno €309K.
- Home advantage makes Rubio NU the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Rubio NU's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rubio NU goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Rubio NU 1369 · Sportivo Luqueno 1442
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rubio NU · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1135

Sportivo Luqueno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1513
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rubio NU
10th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 13 pts from 16
- 23 OctLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1327
- 16 OctLDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1365
- 11 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1375
- 6 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1342
- 26 SepD2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1306
Sportivo Luqueno
9th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 16 pts from 16
- 23 OctLLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1465
- 18 OctWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1410
- 10 OctLCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1449
- 5 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1410
- 25 SepLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1477
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubio NU | 13 /16 | 18.8 | 0% | 0% | 83% | 10th |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 16 /16 | 23.1 | 0% | 0% | 28% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –