Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 20
Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion
Wed 18 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Rubio NU host Libertad Asuncion on Wed 18 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rubio NU 23%, draw 27%, Libertad Asuncion 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rubio NU €214K, Libertad Asuncion €519K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Division Profesional - Clausura Clausura - 20: 287 points.
- Rubio NU's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.1 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rubio NU goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Rubio NU 1401 · Libertad Asuncion 1688
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rubio NU · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1215
Libertad Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1712
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rubio NU
10th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 16 pts from 17
- 30 OctWSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1404
- 23 OctLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1327
- 16 OctLDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1366
- 11 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1376
- 6 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1342
Libertad Asuncion
4th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 30 pts from 17
- 31 OctLClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1714
- 23 OctWSportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional1657
- 18 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1676
- 11 OctDClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1696
- 5 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1689
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubio NU | 16 /17 | 21.1 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 10th |
| Libertad Asuncion | 30 /17 | 38.7 | 1% | 79% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –