Premier League · Regular Season - 15
Rubin vs Zenit
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Rubin host Zenit on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rubin 22%, draw 26%, Zenit 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rubin €1.8M, Zenit €8.8M.
- Premier Liga: Nino is the highest-rated defender (2212).
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier Liga): Rubin rank #13 of 15, Zenit #1.
- Zenit are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rubin goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 1–07%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Rubin 1804 · Zenit 2123
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rubin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1870

Zenit · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2179
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rubin
8th in Premier Liga · 18 pts from 14
- 6 NovWLokomotiv Russia Premier League1799
- 31 OctWFakel Russia Premier League1785
- 24 OctLKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1797
- 18 OctLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1764
- 11 OctLDynamo Russia Premier League1797
Zenit
1st in Premier Liga · 31 pts from 14
- 8 NovDFC Rostov Russia Premier League2120
- 2 NovWKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League2105
- 25 OctWDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League2113
- 18 OctWAkhmat Russia Premier League2135
- 10 OctWFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League2123
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 18 /14 | 39.5 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 6th |
| Zenit | 31 /14 | 64.5 | 67% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rubin: balanced profile (how Franc Artiga plays) · Zenit: possession-based · disciplined (how Sergey Semak plays)