Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Rubin host Krylia Sovetov on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rubin 54%, draw 25%, Krylia Sovetov 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rubin €1.8M, Krylia Sovetov €920K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier Liga): Rubin rank #13 of 15, Krylia Sovetov #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rubin goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Rubin 1795 · Krylia Sovetov 1677
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rubin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1922
Krylia Sovetov · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1798
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rubin
9th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 11
- 18 OctLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1763
- 11 OctLDynamo Russia Premier League1800
- 16 SepDRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1801
- 12 SepDCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1785
- 7 SepDAkhmat Russia Premier League1794
Krylia Sovetov
11th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctLFakel Russia Premier League1700
- 10 OctDSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1702
- 16 SepDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1680
- 11 SepWRodina Moskva Russia Premier League1692
- 5 SepDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1691
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin | 12 /11 | 38.6 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 7th |
| Krylia Sovetov | 12 /11 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 19% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rubin: direct (how Francesc Artiga Cebrián plays) · Krylia Sovetov: balanced profile (how Sergey Bulatov plays)