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Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Rubin 0–1 Dynamo

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Ak Bars Arena, Kazan

Rubin crestRubinTeam 1764
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Dynamo crestDynamoTeam 1965

Match story

Rubin · draw · Dynamo

Before kick-off: 29% · 29% · 42%

Live chances: Rubin 0%, draw 0%, Dynamo 100% at 90+7'3' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 29%, Dynamo 42%4' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 29%, Dynamo 42%5' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 30%, Dynamo 42%6' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 30%, Dynamo 42%7' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 30%, Dynamo 42%8' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 30%, Dynamo 41%9' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 30%, Dynamo 41%10' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 30%, Dynamo 41%11' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 30%, Dynamo 41%12' · 0–0 · Rubin 29%, draw 31%, Dynamo 41%13' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 31%, Dynamo 41%14' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 31%, Dynamo 41%15' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 31%, Dynamo 40%16' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 31%, Dynamo 40%17' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 32%, Dynamo 40%18' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 32%, Dynamo 40%19' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 32%, Dynamo 40%20' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 32%, Dynamo 40%21' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 32%, Dynamo 40%22' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 32%, Dynamo 39%23' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 33%, Dynamo 39%24' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 33%, Dynamo 39%25' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 33%, Dynamo 39%26' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 33%, Dynamo 39%27' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 34%, Dynamo 39%28' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 34%, Dynamo 38%29' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 34%, Dynamo 38%30' · 0–0 · Rubin 28%, draw 34%, Dynamo 38%31' · 0–1 · Rubin 11%, draw 22%, Dynamo 67%32' · 0–1 · Rubin 11%, draw 22%, Dynamo 67%33' · 0–1 · Rubin 11%, draw 22%, Dynamo 67%34' · 0–1 · Rubin 11%, draw 22%, Dynamo 67%35' · 0–1 · Rubin 10%, draw 22%, Dynamo 67%36' · 0–1 · Rubin 10%, draw 22%, Dynamo 68%37' · 0–1 · Rubin 10%, draw 22%, Dynamo 68%38' · 0–1 · Rubin 10%, draw 22%, Dynamo 68%39' · 0–1 · Rubin 10%, draw 22%, Dynamo 68%40' · 0–1 · Rubin 10%, draw 22%, Dynamo 68%41' · 0–1 · Rubin 10%, draw 22%, Dynamo 68%42' · 0–1 · Rubin 4%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%43' · 0–1 · Rubin 4%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%44' · 0–1 · Rubin 4%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%45' · 0–1 · Rubin 4%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%45+1' · 0–1 · Rubin 4%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%HT · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%47' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%48' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 82%49' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%50' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%51' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%52' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%53' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%54' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%55' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%56' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%57' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 83%58' · 0–1 · Rubin 3%, draw 14%, Dynamo 84%59' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 14%, Dynamo 84%60' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 14%, Dynamo 84%61' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 14%, Dynamo 84%62' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 14%, Dynamo 84%63' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 84%64' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 85%65' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 85%66' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 85%67' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 85%68' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 85%69' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 86%70' · 0–1 · Rubin 2%, draw 13%, Dynamo 86%72' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 12%, Dynamo 86%73' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 12%, Dynamo 87%74' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 12%, Dynamo 87%75' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 12%, Dynamo 87%76' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 11%, Dynamo 88%77' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 11%, Dynamo 88%78' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 11%, Dynamo 88%79' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 10%, Dynamo 89%80' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 10%, Dynamo 89%81' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 10%, Dynamo 89%82' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 9%, Dynamo 90%83' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 9%, Dynamo 90%84' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 9%, Dynamo 91%85' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 12%, Dynamo 87%86' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 11%, Dynamo 88%87' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 10%, Dynamo 89%88' · 0–1 · Rubin 1%, draw 9%, Dynamo 90%89' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 9%, Dynamo 91%90' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 8%, Dynamo 92%90+1' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 7%, Dynamo 93%90+2' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 6%, Dynamo 94%90+3' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 4%, Dynamo 95%90+4' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 3%, Dynamo 97%90+5' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 2%, Dynamo 98%90+6' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 1%, Dynamo 99%90+7' · 0–1 · Rubin 0%, draw 0%, Dynamo 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Dynamo 42% to win: they did.

  1. 30'Dynamo:Jakhongir Urozov 1473 −8* (own goal)
  2. 37'Rubin:Ilya Samoshnikov 1801 −10*
  3. 41'Dynamo:Juan Caceres 2077 −4*
  4. 45'Dynamo:Leon Zaydenzal 1632 +30* for Juan Caceres 2077 −4*
  5. 55'Rubin:Ignacio Saavedra 1780 −9*
  6. 61'Rubin:Ugochukwu Iwu 1856 −3 for Ignacio Saavedra 1780 −9*
  7. 61'Rubin:Ruslan Bezrukov 1834 −9* for Nikita Lobov 1768 −8*
  8. 64'Dynamo:Viktor Okishor 1571 +12* for Arthur Gomes 2007 −1*
  9. 64'Dynamo:Josue Casimir 1840 −2* for Yaroslav Gladyshev 1961 +2*
  10. 78'Rubin:Ulvi Babaev 1464 −8* for Nazmi Gripshi 1812 −13*
  11. 79'Rubin:Eddie Salcedo 1797 −8* for Jacques Siwe 1789 −9*
  12. 82'Dynamo:Rubens 1978 +4*
  13. 86'Dynamo:Dmitriy Skopintsev 1900 −7* for Bitello 2057 +2*
  14. 86'Dynamo:Ivan Sergeev 1768 −9* for Konstantin Tyukavin 2024 +3*
  15. 86'Rubin:Daniil Kuznetsov 1595 −8* for Ilya Rozhkov 1844 −14*
  16. 90+4'Rubin:Jakhongir Urozov 1473 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GE. Staver1857−15*
DA. Arroyo1873−17*
DN. Lobov1768−8*
DI. Vujačić1828−9
DJ. Urozov1473−8*
DI. Rozhkov1844−14*
MI. Samoshnikov1801−10*
MV. Hodža1932−13
MN. Gripshi1812−13*
MI. Saavedra1780−9*
FJ. Siwe1789−9*
CFranc Artiga1645−8*
GA. Lunev1956+28*
DJ. Cáceres2077−4*
DN. Marichal2025+22*
DDavid Ricardo2096+13*
DRubens1978+4*
MD. Glebov1997+25*
MD. Fomin1941+5*
MY. Gladyshev1961+2*
MBitello2057+2*
MArthur Gomes2007−1*
FK. Tyukavin2024+3*
CS. Schwarz2012+13*
Before kick-off: 29% · 29% · 42%(Rubin · draw · Dynamo)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Rubin €1.7M, Dynamo €4.5M.
  • Style contrast in attacking (Premier Liga): Rubin ranked #13 of 15, Dynamo #1.
  • Rubin were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
  • Dynamo had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Rubin

7th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 9

  • 16 SepDRodina Moskva 1801
  • 12 SepDCSKA Moscow 1785
  • 7 SepDAkhmat 1794
  • 30 AugWDinamo Makhachkala 1757
  • 24 AugDBaltika 1777

Dynamo

4th in Premier Liga · 19 pts from 9

  • 17 SepWFC Rostov 1981
  • 12 SepWFC Orenburg 1953
  • 6 SepWSpartak Moscow 1951
  • 29 AugWLokomotiv 1904
  • 23 AugWRodina Moskva 1859

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Rubin12 /941.70%4%1%6th
Dynamo19 /955.99%77%0%3rd
Rubin
Dynamo

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Arroyo
A. Arroyo

Rubin · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1890

David Ricardo
David Ricardo

Dynamo · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2083

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Francesc Artiga Cebrián

Coach DNA: low-volume

Sandro Schwarz

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Rubin: direct (how Francesc Artiga Cebrián plays) · Dynamo: shot-heavy · creative (how Sandro Schwarz plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.