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First League · Regular Season - 14

Rotor Volgograd 0–1 FC Sochi

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Volgograd Arena, Volgograd

Rotor Volgograd crestRotor VolgogradTeam 1531
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
FC Sochi crestFC SochiTeam 1612

Match story

Rotor Volgograd · draw · FC Sochi

Before kick-off: 40% · 26% · 35%

Live chances: Rotor Volgograd 0%, draw 3%, FC Sochi 97% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 35%3' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 35%4' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 35%5' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 35%6' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 35%7' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 34%8' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 34%10' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 34%11' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 34%12' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 34%13' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 39%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 34%14' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 38%, draw 28%, FC Sochi 34%15' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 38%, draw 28%, FC Sochi 34%16' · 0–0 · Rotor Volgograd 38%, draw 28%, FC Sochi 34%17' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 21%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 56%18' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 21%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 56%19' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 20%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 56%20' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 20%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 57%21' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 20%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 57%22' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 20%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 57%23' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 20%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 57%24' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 19%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 57%25' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 19%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 57%26' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 19%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 57%27' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 19%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 58%28' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 19%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 58%29' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 18%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 58%30' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 18%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 58%31' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 18%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 58%32' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 18%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 58%33' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 18%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 59%34' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 17%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 59%35' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 17%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 59%36' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 17%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 59%37' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 17%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 59%38' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 16%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 59%39' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 16%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 60%40' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 16%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 60%41' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 16%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 60%42' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 15%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 60%43' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 15%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 61%44' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 15%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 61%45' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 15%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 61%45+1' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 14%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 61%45+2' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 14%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 61%HT · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 14%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 62%46' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 14%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 62%47' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 13%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 62%48' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 13%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 62%49' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 13%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 63%51' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 12%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 63%52' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 12%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 64%53' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 12%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 64%54' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 11%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 64%55' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 11%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 65%56' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 11%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 65%57' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 10%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 66%58' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 10%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 66%59' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 9%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 66%60' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 9%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 67%61' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 9%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 67%62' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 9%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 68%63' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 8%, draw 24%, FC Sochi 68%64' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 8%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 69%65' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 8%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 69%66' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 7%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 70%67' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 7%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 70%68' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 7%, draw 23%, FC Sochi 71%69' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 6%, draw 22%, FC Sochi 71%70' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 6%, draw 22%, FC Sochi 72%71' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 6%, draw 22%, FC Sochi 72%72' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 5%, draw 22%, FC Sochi 73%73' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 5%, draw 21%, FC Sochi 74%75' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 5%, draw 21%, FC Sochi 75%76' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 4%, draw 20%, FC Sochi 76%77' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 4%, draw 20%, FC Sochi 76%78' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 4%, draw 19%, FC Sochi 77%80' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 3%, draw 18%, FC Sochi 79%81' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 3%, draw 18%, FC Sochi 79%82' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 3%, draw 17%, FC Sochi 80%83' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 2%, draw 16%, FC Sochi 81%84' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 2%, draw 16%, FC Sochi 82%85' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 2%, draw 15%, FC Sochi 83%86' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 2%, draw 14%, FC Sochi 84%87' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 1%, draw 13%, FC Sochi 85%88' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 1%, draw 12%, FC Sochi 86%89' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 1%, draw 11%, FC Sochi 88%90' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 1%, draw 10%, FC Sochi 89%90+1' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 1%, draw 9%, FC Sochi 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 0%, draw 8%, FC Sochi 92%90+3' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 0%, draw 6%, FC Sochi 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 0%, draw 5%, FC Sochi 95%90+5' · 0–1 · Rotor Volgograd 0%, draw 3%, FC Sochi 97%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Rotor Volgograd 40% to win: FC Sochi won.

  1. 17'Rotor Volgograd:Georgiy Yudintsev 1516 for Nikolay Pokidyshev 1610 −7
  2. 17'FC Sochi:Mikhail Ignatov 1766 +16
  3. 42'FC Sochi:Nemanja Stojic 1833 +10
  4. 51'Rotor Volgograd:Ilya Rodionov 1445 0
  5. 59'Rotor Volgograd:Said Aliev 1523 for Artem Simonyan 1572 −7
  6. 63'Rotor Volgograd:Aleksandr Troshechkin 1580 −6
  7. 67'Rotor Volgograd:Aleksandr Khubulov 1322 for Abu-Said Eldarushev 1665 −10
  8. 67'Rotor Volgograd:Aleksandr Khokhlachev 1381 for Ilya Rodionov 1445 0
  9. 67'Rotor Volgograd:Egor Danilkin 1519 for Irakliy Manelov 1677 −11
  10. 75'FC Sochi:Oleg Kozhemyakin 1485 for Aleksandr Osipov 1712 +11*
  11. 83'FC Sochi:Pavel Meleshin 1601 for Zakhar Fedorov 1503 +38
  12. 83'FC Sochi:Maksim Kuzmin 1639 for Mikhail Ignatov 1766 +16
  13. 83'FC Sochi:Ramil Sheydayev 1524 for Aleksandr Metsiev 1488 +39
  14. 88'Rotor Volgograd:Mikhail Umnikov 1512 −8*
  15. 90+2'FC Sochi:Roman Pasevich 1439 for Ruslan Magal 1617 +21
  16. 90+2'FC Sochi:Timofey Mitrov 1645 +26

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations3-4-2-1
GN. Chagrov1621−8
DN. Pokidyshev1610−7
DEmmersón1572−14*
DA. Kleshchenko1600−8
DA. Khityaev1391−8*
MM. Umnikov1512−8*
DI. Manelov1677−11
MA. Simonyan1572−7
MA. Troshechkin1580−6
MI. Rodionov14450
FA. Eldarushev1665−10
CDmitriy Parfenov14690
GT. Mitrov1645+26
DN. Stojić1833+10
DMarcelo Alves1737+17
DA. Soldatenkov1753+7*
DK. Zaika1646+20
MA. Osipov1712+11*
MA. Metsiev1488+39
DA. Makarchuk1692+19
MM. Ignatov1766+16
DR. Magal1617+21
FZ. Fedorov1503+38
CIgor Osinkin1739
Before kick-off: 40% · 26% · 35%(Rotor Volgograd · draw · FC Sochi)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–1 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Rotor Volgograd €402K, FC Sochi €592K.
  • Home advantage made Rotor Volgograd the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • First League: N. Stojić was the highest-rated defender (1822).
  • FC Sochi were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Rotor Volgograd

8th in First League · 18 pts from 13

  • 10 OctDVolga Ulyanovsk 1562
  • 17 SepWTekstilshchik 1554
  • 13 SepWEnisey 1531
  • 5 SepDShinnik Yaroslavl 1521
  • 31 AugLSpartak Kostroma 1545

FC Sochi

2nd in First League · 26 pts from 13

  • 11 OctWFC UFA 1635
  • 18 SepDSka-khabarovsk 1633
  • 14 SepWVeles 1664
  • 30 AugWChelyabinsk 1656
  • 24 AugWKAMAZ 1653

Season outlook

From the First League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Rotor Volgograd18 /1350.1<1%14%<1%7th
FC Sochi26 /1362.715%86%0%2nd
Rotor Volgograd
FC Sochi

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Makarchuk
A. Makarchuk

FC Sochi · +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1672

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Dmitriy Parfenov

Coach DNA: –

Igor Osinkin

Coach DNA: balanced profile

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.