League Two · Regular Season - 15
Rotherham vs Crawley Town
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Rotherham host Crawley Town on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rotherham 51%, draw 26%, Crawley Town 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rotherham €337K, Crawley Town €157K.
- Style contrast in possession (League Two): Rotherham rank #22 of 25, Crawley Town #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rotherham goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Rotherham 1664 · Crawley Town 1539
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rotherham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1650
Crawley Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1595
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rotherham
22nd in League Two · 12 pts from 13
- 24 OctDShrewsbury England League Two1686
- 20 OctDNewport County England League Two1682
- 17 OctLFleetwood Town England League Two1647
- 10 OctLGillingham England League Two1671
- 6 OctLBradford England EFL Trophy1644
Crawley Town
24th in League Two · 6 pts from 11
- 24 OctDTranmere England League Two1551
- 20 OctLShrewsbury England League Two1504
- 17 OctLSalford City England League Two1534
- 10 OctDChesterfield England League Two1566
- 6 OctWBromley England EFL Trophy1650
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 12 /13 | 58.5 | <1% | 4% | 12% | 15th |
| Crawley Town | 6 /11 | 44.4 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rotherham: direct (how Alex Bruce plays) · Crawley Town: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Colin Kazim-Richards plays)