3. Liga · Regular Season - 11
Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, Essen
Rot-Weiß Essen host SSV Jahn Regensburg on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rot-Weiß Essen 53%, draw 26%, SSV Jahn Regensburg 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rot-Weiß Essen €514K, SSV Jahn Regensburg €308K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (3. Liga): Rot-Weiß Essen rank #4 of 20, SSV Jahn Regensburg #20.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rot-Weiß Essen goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Rot-Weiß Essen 1667 · SSV Jahn Regensburg 1556
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rot-Weiß Essen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1738
SSV Jahn Regensburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1594
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rot-Weiß Essen
3rd in 3. Liga · 18 pts from 10
- 17 OctLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1683
- 13 OctWFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1664
- 9 OctDPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1658
- 20 SepDHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1686
- 16 SepWWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1692
SSV Jahn Regensburg
18th in 3. Liga · 10 pts from 10
- 17 OctDSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1555
- 14 OctDVerl Germany 3 Liga1551
- 10 OctWHavelse Germany 3 Liga1540
- 19 SepDStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1536
- 15 SepLFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1541
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 18 /10 | 63.4 | 13% | 55% | 0% | 2nd |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 10 /10 | 48.9 | <1% | 3% | 5% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rot-Weiß Essen: balanced profile (how Uwe Koschinat plays) · SSV Jahn Regensburg: direct · high-pressing (how Sascha Hildmann plays)