Eliteserien · Regular Season - 26
Rosenborg vs Start
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Rosenborg host Start on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rosenborg 69%, draw 19%, Start 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rosenborg €958K, Start €353K.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Eliteserien average of 26% this round.
- Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rosenborg goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–08%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Rosenborg 1805 · Start 1472
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rosenborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1857
Start · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1612
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rosenborg
5th in Eliteserien · 37 pts from 23
- 18 OctWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1783
- 10 OctDSandefjord Eliteserien1854
- 19 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1806
- 12 SepWTromso Eliteserien1780
- 5 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1765
Start
16th in Eliteserien · 16 pts from 23
- 18 OctLMolde Eliteserien1459
- 11 OctLHam-Kam Eliteserien1491
- 20 SepLSandefjord Eliteserien1518
- 13 SepWBrann Eliteserien1454
- 4 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1470
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg | 37 /23 | 50.5 | 0% | 74% | 0% | 3rd |
| Start | 16 /23 | 23.1 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rosenborg: balanced profile (how Freyr Alexandersson plays) · Start: balanced profile (how Azar Karadas plays)