Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23
Rosenborg 1–1 Sandefjord
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
RosenborgTeam 1860
SandefjordTeam 1520Match story
Rosenborg · draw · SandefjordBefore kick-off: 70% · 18% · 12%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Amin Chiakha 5' (pen)
We gave Rosenborg 70% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Amin Chiakha 1883 −13* (pen.)5'
Rosenborg:Amin Chiakha 1883 −13* (pen.) - Amin Chiakha 1883 −13*20'
Rosenborg:Amin Chiakha 1883 −13* - Ole Selnaes 1823 −14*44'
Rosenborg:Ole Selnaes 1823 −14* - 45'Tobias Borkeeiet 1635 −4*
Sandefjord:Tobias Borkeeiet 1635 −4* - 51'Tobias Borkeeiet 1635 −4*
Sandefjord:Tobias Borkeeiet 1635 −4* - Nemcik Tomas 1860 −12*56'
Rosenborg:Nemcik Tomas 1860 −12* - Ole Selnaes 1823 −14*61'
Rosenborg:Ole Selnaes 1823 −14* - 62'Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen 1426 −2* for Evangelos Patoulidis 1557 0*
Sandefjord:Bendik Slotfeldt Berntsen 1426 −2* for Evangelos Patoulidis 1557 0* - Aslak Fonn Witry 1768 −10* for Jonas Svensson 1909 −17*63'
Rosenborg:Aslak Fonn Witry 1768 −10* for Jonas Svensson 1909 −17* - Simen Bolkan Nordli 1729 −8* for Noah Sahsah 1688 −8*63'
Rosenborg:Simen Bolkan Nordli 1729 −8* for Noah Sahsah 1688 −8* - 67'Fredrik Carson Pedersen 1610 −6* for Martin Hellan 1378 +7*
Sandefjord:Fredrik Carson Pedersen 1610 −6* for Martin Hellan 1378 +7* - 67'Vetle Walle Egeli 1596 −2* for Gustav Højbjerg 1364 +8*
Sandefjord:Vetle Walle Egeli 1596 −2* for Gustav Højbjerg 1364 +8* - 73'Vetle Walle Egeli 1596 −2* assist Sander Risan Mörk 1601 +17*
Sandefjord:Vetle Walle Egeli 1596 −2* assist Sander Risan Mörk 1601 +17* - David Duris 1744 −1 for Mathias Ullereng Kjolo 1894 −12*78'
Rosenborg:David Duris 1744 −1 for Mathias Ullereng Kjolo 1894 −12* - 80'Jakob Vester Nielsen 1503 −6* for Ervin Gigovic 1513 +4*
Sandefjord:Jakob Vester Nielsen 1503 −6* for Ervin Gigovic 1513 +4* - 80'Edvard Sundbö Pettersen 1534 −6* for Jakob Maslo Dunsby 1587 0*
Sandefjord:Edvard Sundbö Pettersen 1534 −6* for Jakob Maslo Dunsby 1587 0* - Iver Fossum 1697 −10* for Mads Bomholt 1829 −10*87'
Rosenborg:Iver Fossum 1697 −10* for Mads Bomholt 1829 −10* - Mark Mampassi 1727 −8* for Nemcik Tomas 1860 −12*87'
Rosenborg:Mark Mampassi 1727 −8* for Nemcik Tomas 1860 −12*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 70% · 18% · 12%(Rosenborg · draw · Sandefjord)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 1–1 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Rosenborg €1.2M, Sandefjord €438K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eliteserien matchday 23: 256 points.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rosenborg
5th in Eliteserien · 33 pts from 21
- 19 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1806
- 12 SepWTromso Eliteserien1780
- 5 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1765
- 30 AugLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1793
- 14 AugWViking Eliteserien1764
Sandefjord
11th in Eliteserien · 23 pts from 21
- 20 SepWStart Eliteserien1505
- 14 SepLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1503
- 4 SepDViking Eliteserien1558
- 30 AugDBrann Eliteserien1548
- 16 AugWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1522
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg | 33 /21 | 50.5 | 0% | 72% | 0% | 3rd |
| Sandefjord | 23 /21 | 34.2 | 0% | <1% | 13% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rosenborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1837

Sandefjord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1439
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rosenborg: balanced profile (how Freyr Alexandersson plays) · Sandefjord: balanced profile (how Andreas Ulrik Tegström plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.