Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Rosario Central 5–0 Independ. Rivadavia
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre, Rosario
Rosario CentralTeam 1908
Independ. RivadaviaTeam 1821Match story
Rosario Central · draw · Independ. RivadaviaBefore kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%
Last reading, 90': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Ángel Di María 11' (pen)
- Jaminton Campaz 51'
- Ángel Di María 57'
- Enzo Copetti 69'
- Marco Ruben 74'
We gave Rosario Central 49% to win: they did.
- Ángel Di María 1827 +37 (pen.)11'
Rosario Central:Ángel Di María 1827 +37 (pen.) - 12'Gonzalo Rios 1776 −1
Independ. Rivadavia:Gonzalo Rios 1776 −1 - Ángel Di María 1827 +3725'
Rosario Central:Ángel Di María 1827 +37 - 40'Alex Arce 1820 −13*
Independ. Rivadavia:Alex Arce 1820 −13* - Giovanni Ismael Cantizano 1643 +16 for Federico Navarro 1854 +2145'
Rosario Central:Giovanni Ismael Cantizano 1643 +16 for Federico Navarro 1854 +21 - 45'Fabrizio Sartori Prieto 1838 −3 for Gonzalo Rios 1776 −1
Independ. Rivadavia:Fabrizio Sartori Prieto 1838 −3 for Gonzalo Rios 1776 −1 - 45+2'Leonard Costa 1859 −10
Independ. Rivadavia:Leonard Costa 1859 −10 - Jaminton Campaz 1971 +20* assist Vicente Pizarro 2019 +22*51'
Rosario Central:Jaminton Campaz 1971 +20* assist Vicente Pizarro 2019 +22* - Ángel Di María 1827 +37 assist Vicente Pizarro 2019 +22*57'
Rosario Central:Ángel Di María 1827 +37 assist Vicente Pizarro 2019 +22* - 59'Alex Vigo 1750 −8* for Luciano Gomez 1869 −9
Independ. Rivadavia:Alex Vigo 1750 −8* for Luciano Gomez 1869 −9 - 59'Matías Reali 1680 −2 for Luis Sequeira 1734 0
Independ. Rivadavia:Matías Reali 1680 −2 for Luis Sequeira 1734 0 - 63'Jose Ignacio Florentin 1871 −14
Independ. Rivadavia:Jose Ignacio Florentin 1871 −14 - Enzo Copetti 1929 +32 assist G.Agustin Sandez 2047 +18*69'
Rosario Central:Enzo Copetti 1929 +32 assist G.Agustin Sandez 2047 +18* - Franco Cervi 1622 +7* for Jaminton Campaz 1971 +20*71'
Rosario Central:Franco Cervi 1622 +7* for Jaminton Campaz 1971 +20* - Marco Ruben 1184 +20 for Enzo Copetti 1929 +3272'
Rosario Central:Marco Ruben 1184 +20 for Enzo Copetti 1929 +32 - 72'Stefano Moreyra 1621 −8* for Tomas Bottari 1890 −11
Independ. Rivadavia:Stefano Moreyra 1621 −8* for Tomas Bottari 1890 −11 - Julian Fernandez 1879 +4 for Franco Ibarra 1993 +972'
Rosario Central:Julian Fernandez 1879 +4 for Franco Ibarra 1993 +9 - Marco Ruben 1184 +20 assist Ignacio Ovando 1967 +3974'
Rosario Central:Marco Ruben 1184 +20 assist Ignacio Ovando 1967 +39 - Juan Giménez 1695 +4* for Ángel Di María 1827 +3776'
Rosario Central:Juan Giménez 1695 +4* for Ángel Di María 1827 +37 - 79'Leonel Bucca 1714 −1 for Matías Fernández 1856 −8
Independ. Rivadavia:Leonel Bucca 1714 −1 for Matías Fernández 1856 −8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%(Rosario Central · draw · Independ. Rivadavia)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 5–0 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Rosario Central €2.5M, Independ. Rivadavia €1.3M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Liga Profesional): Rosario Central ranked #2 of 30, Independ. Rivadavia #28.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rosario Central
4th in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16
- 6 OctDBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1861
- 20 SepWArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1891
- 13 SepWTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1922
- 6 SepDNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1935
- 29 AugLGimnasia L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1858
Independ. Rivadavia
1st in Liga Profesional · 34 pts from 16
- 3 OctDGimnasia L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1874
- 21 SepWBarracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional1848
- 12 SepWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1830
- 6 SepLRiver Plate Argentina Liga Profesional1839
- 18 AugDFluminense Copa Libertadores1853
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 28 /16 | 37.2 | 7% | 46% | 0% | 5th |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 34 /16 | 41.7 | 59% | 93% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rosario Central · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2020

Independ. Rivadavia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1884
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rosario Central: balanced profile (how Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana plays) · Independ. Rivadavia: balanced profile (how Alfredo Jesús Berti plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.