Liga Profesional Argentina · Round of 16
Rosario Central vs Gimnasia M.
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Rosario Central host Gimnasia M. on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rosario Central 65%, draw 21%, Gimnasia M. 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rosario Central €2.8M, Gimnasia M. €386K.
- Rosario Central have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rosario Central goals first.
- 1–018%
- 2–015%
- 1–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–08%
- Other scores32%
Team Elo: Rosario Central 1942 · Gimnasia M. 1674
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rosario Central · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 2073
Gimnasia M. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1683
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rosario Central
4th in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16
- 7 NovWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1997
- 31 OctWSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional1943
- 25 OctWHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional1968
- 17 OctWAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional1923
- 11 OctWIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1925
Gimnasia M.
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 7 NovDIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1678
- 1 NovDLanus Argentina Liga Profesional1648
- 23 OctLPlatense Argentina Liga Profesional1641
- 17 OctLVelez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional1737
- 12 OctWNewells Old Boys Argentina Liga Profesional1699
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 62 /32 | 64.1 | 27% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Gimnasia M. | 41 /32 | 41.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rosario Central: balanced profile (how J. Almirón plays) · Gimnasia M.: balanced profile (how D. Franco plays)