Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Rosario Central host Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rosario Central 75%, draw 16%, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rosario Central €2.6M, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto €201K.
- Draw chance 16%, below the Liga Profesional average of 27% this round.
- Rosario Central are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rosario Central goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–17%
- 1–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Rosario Central 1903 · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1492
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rosario Central · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2064
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1521
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rosario Central
4th in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16
- 17 OctWAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional1932
- 11 OctWIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1936
- 6 OctDBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1861
- 20 SepWArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1891
- 13 SepWTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1922
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
15th in Liga Profesional · 5 pts from 16
- 18 OctWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1452
- 11 OctLRiver Plate Argentina Liga Profesional1457
- 5 OctLRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1472
- 20 SepLBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1486
- 15 SepLInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1496
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 28 /16 | 34.1 | 1% | 40% | 0% | 5th |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 5 /16 | 7.2 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 30th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rosario Central: balanced profile (how J. Almirón plays) · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: balanced profile (how R. Forestello plays)