Premier League · Regular Season - 15
Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Arena Khimki, Khimki
Rodina Moskva host Lokomotiv on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rodina Moskva 40%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rodina Moskva €876K, Lokomotiv €2.0M.
- Home advantage makes Rodina Moskva the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rodina Moskva goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Rodina Moskva 1741 · Lokomotiv 1799
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rodina Moskva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1730
Lokomotiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1827
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rodina Moskva
13th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 14
- 7 NovLAkhmat Russia Premier League1756
- 31 OctWFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1717
- 24 OctWFakel Russia Premier League1681
- 19 OctDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1694
- 11 OctLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1690
Lokomotiv
15th in Premier Liga · 11 pts from 14
- 6 NovLRubin Russia Premier League1794
- 1 NovLSpartak Moscow Russia Premier League1818
- 25 OctLFC Rostov Russia Premier League1840
- 17 OctDFC Krasnodar Russia Premier League1875
- 10 OctWFakel Russia Premier League1785
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva | 12 /14 | 32.1 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 13th |
| Lokomotiv | 11 /14 | 33.2 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile