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Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Rodina Moskva 2–2 FC Orenburg

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Arena Khimki, Khimki

Rodina Moskva crestRodina MoskvaTeam 1637
2–2
Full time
HT 1–1
FC Orenburg crestFC OrenburgTeam 1635

Match story

Rodina Moskva · draw · FC Orenburg

Before kick-off: 43% · 30% · 27%

Live chances: Rodina Moskva 3%, draw 95%, FC Orenburg 2% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 30%, FC Orenburg 27%3' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 30%, FC Orenburg 27%4' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 30%, FC Orenburg 27%5' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 30%, FC Orenburg 27%6' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 30%, FC Orenburg 27%7' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 31%, FC Orenburg 27%8' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 31%, FC Orenburg 27%9' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 42%, draw 31%, FC Orenburg 27%10' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 42%, draw 31%, FC Orenburg 27%12' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 42%, draw 31%, FC Orenburg 27%13' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 42%, draw 31%, FC Orenburg 27%14' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 42%, draw 32%, FC Orenburg 27%15' · 0–0 · Rodina Moskva 42%, draw 32%, FC Orenburg 27%16' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 10%17' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 10%18' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 10%19' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 10%20' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%21' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%22' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%23' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%24' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%25' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%26' · 1–0 · Rodina Moskva 70%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 9%27' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 40%, draw 34%, FC Orenburg 26%28' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 40%, draw 34%, FC Orenburg 26%29' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 40%, draw 34%, FC Orenburg 26%30' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 40%, draw 34%, FC Orenburg 26%31' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 39%, draw 35%, FC Orenburg 26%32' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 39%, draw 35%, FC Orenburg 26%33' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 39%, draw 35%, FC Orenburg 26%35' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 39%, draw 36%, FC Orenburg 26%36' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 38%, draw 36%, FC Orenburg 26%37' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 38%, draw 36%, FC Orenburg 26%38' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 38%, draw 36%, FC Orenburg 26%39' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 38%, draw 37%, FC Orenburg 26%40' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 38%, draw 37%, FC Orenburg 26%41' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 37%, draw 37%, FC Orenburg 25%42' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 37%, draw 38%, FC Orenburg 25%43' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 37%, draw 38%, FC Orenburg 25%44' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 37%, draw 38%, FC Orenburg 25%45' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 38%, FC Orenburg 25%45+1' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 39%, FC Orenburg 25%45+2' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 39%, FC Orenburg 25%45+3' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 40%, FC Orenburg 25%45+4' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 40%, FC Orenburg 25%45+5' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 40%, FC Orenburg 25%HT · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 36%, draw 40%, FC Orenburg 25%46' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 35%, draw 40%, FC Orenburg 25%48' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 35%, draw 40%, FC Orenburg 24%49' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 35%, draw 41%, FC Orenburg 24%50' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 34%, draw 41%, FC Orenburg 24%51' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 34%, draw 42%, FC Orenburg 24%52' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 34%, draw 42%, FC Orenburg 24%53' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 33%, draw 43%, FC Orenburg 24%54' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 33%, draw 44%, FC Orenburg 24%56' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 32%, draw 45%, FC Orenburg 23%57' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 32%, draw 45%, FC Orenburg 23%58' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 31%, draw 46%, FC Orenburg 23%59' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 31%, draw 47%, FC Orenburg 22%60' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 31%, draw 47%, FC Orenburg 22%61' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 30%, draw 48%, FC Orenburg 22%62' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 30%, draw 49%, FC Orenburg 22%63' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 29%, draw 49%, FC Orenburg 21%64' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 29%, draw 50%, FC Orenburg 21%65' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 28%, draw 51%, FC Orenburg 21%66' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 28%, draw 52%, FC Orenburg 21%67' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 27%, draw 52%, FC Orenburg 20%68' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 27%, draw 53%, FC Orenburg 20%69' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 26%, draw 54%, FC Orenburg 20%70' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 26%, draw 55%, FC Orenburg 19%71' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 25%, draw 56%, FC Orenburg 19%72' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 25%, draw 57%, FC Orenburg 19%73' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 24%, draw 58%, FC Orenburg 18%74' · 1–1 · Rodina Moskva 24%, draw 59%, FC Orenburg 18%75' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 5%, draw 23%, FC Orenburg 73%76' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 5%, draw 22%, FC Orenburg 73%77' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 4%, draw 22%, FC Orenburg 74%78' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 4%, draw 21%, FC Orenburg 75%79' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 4%, draw 20%, FC Orenburg 76%80' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 3%, draw 20%, FC Orenburg 77%81' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 3%, draw 19%, FC Orenburg 78%82' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 3%, draw 18%, FC Orenburg 79%83' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 2%, draw 18%, FC Orenburg 80%84' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 2%, draw 17%, FC Orenburg 81%85' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 2%, draw 16%, FC Orenburg 82%86' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 2%, draw 15%, FC Orenburg 83%87' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 1%, draw 14%, FC Orenburg 85%88' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 1%, draw 13%, FC Orenburg 86%89' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 1%, draw 12%, FC Orenburg 87%90' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 1%, draw 11%, FC Orenburg 89%90+1' · 1–2 · Rodina Moskva 1%, draw 9%, FC Orenburg 90%90+2' · 2–2 · Rodina Moskva 7%, draw 87%, FC Orenburg 6%90+3' · 2–2 · Rodina Moskva 6%, draw 90%, FC Orenburg 5%90+4' · 2–2 · Rodina Moskva 4%, draw 93%, FC Orenburg 3%90+5' · 2–2 · Rodina Moskva 3%, draw 95%, FC Orenburg 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 95% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Rodina Moskva 43% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 5'FC Orenburg:Dmitriy Rybchinskiy 1614
  2. 14'Rodina Moskva:Soltmurad Bakaev 1645 assist Yordy Reyna 1623
  3. 17'FC Orenburg:Evgeniy Bolotov 1692
  4. 25'FC Orenburg:Jordhy Thompson 1757 (pen.)
  5. 26'FC Orenburg:Jordhy Thompson 1757
  6. 26'Rodina Moskva:Soltmurad Bakaev 1645
  7. 50'Rodina Moskva:Artem Maksimenko 1646
  8. 52'FC Orenburg:Emil Tsenov 1789
  9. 60'Rodina Moskva:Artur Gharibyan 1400 for Soltmurad Bakaev 1645
  10. 60'Rodina Moskva:Magomedkhabib Abdusalamov 1651 for Artem Maksimenko 1646
  11. 65'FC Orenburg:Damian Puebla 1730
  12. 67'Rodina Moskva:Rodrigo Becão 2028
  13. 68'FC Orenburg:Aleksey Tataev 1576
  14. 69'FC Orenburg:Renat Golybin 1574 for Damian Puebla 1730
  15. 69'FC Orenburg:Andrey Kasadzhikov 1436 for Evgeniy Bolotov 1692
  16. 70'FC Orenburg:Egor Nazarenko 1589 for Dmitriy Rybchinskiy 1614
  17. 71'Rodina Moskva:Sergey Volkov 1667
  18. 73'FC Orenburg:Jordhy Thompson 1757 (pen.)
  19. 75'Rodina Moskva:Igor Silva 1934
  20. 75'Rodina Moskva:Ivan Timoshenko 1669 for Andrey Egorychev 1552
  21. 77'Rodina Moskva:Yordy Reyna 1623
  22. 80'FC Orenburg:Andrey Kasadzhikov 1436
  23. 84'Rodina Moskva:Kirill Ushatov 1547 for Leon Musaev 1508
  24. 89'FC Orenburg:Anton Lukashov 1550 for Jordhy Thompson 1757
  25. 89'FC Orenburg:Egor Nazarenko 1589
  26. 90'Rodina Moskva:Ivan Timoshenko 1669
  27. 90+4'FC Orenburg:Danila Vedernikov 1660 for Gedeon Guzina 1601

Line-ups

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GB. Ovsyannikov1751
DM. Sivis1683
DJ. Palacios1787
DA. Tataev1576
DE. Tsenov1789
MR. Kul1601
ME. Bolotov1692
MJ. Thompson1757
MD. Puebla1730
MD. Rybchinskiy1614
FG. Guzina1601
CI. Akhmetzyanov1478
Before kick-off: 43% · 30% · 27%(Rodina Moskva · draw · FC Orenburg)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Rodina Moskva €920K, FC Orenburg €861K.
  • Home advantage made Rodina Moskva the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Rodina Moskva

16th in Premier Liga · 5 pts from 10

  • 11 OctLCSKA Moscow 1698
  • 16 SepDRubin 1666
  • 11 SepLKrylia Sovetov 1632
  • 6 SepLDinamo Makhachkala 1672
  • 30 AugLBaltika 1691

FC Orenburg

8th in Premier Liga · 12 pts from 10

  • 10 OctWDinamo Makhachkala 1653
  • 17 SepDFC Krasnodar 1599
  • 12 SepLDynamo 1623
  • 6 SepDAkron 1639
  • 30 AugDSpartak Moscow 1641

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Rodina Moskva5 /1027.00%0%63%15th
FC Orenburg12 /1034.30%<1%13%9th
Rodina Moskva
FC Orenburg

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Volkov
S. Volkov

Rodina Moskva · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1667

J. Thompson
J. Thompson

FC Orenburg · +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1757

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Jonatan Alba Cabello

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Ildar Akhmetzyanov

Coach DNA: –