Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Arena Khimki, Khimki
Rodina Moskva host FC Krasnodar on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rodina Moskva 22%, draw 26%, FC Krasnodar 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rodina Moskva €700K, FC Krasnodar €5.0M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rodina Moskva goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–07%
- 2–16%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Rodina Moskva 1639 · FC Krasnodar 1959
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rodina Moskva · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1653
FC Krasnodar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2043
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rodina Moskva
16th in Premier Liga · 5 pts from 10
- 11 OctLCSKA Moscow Russia Premier League1698
- 16 SepDRubin Russia Premier League1666
- 11 SepLKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League1632
- 6 SepLDinamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League1672
- 30 AugLBaltika Russia Premier League1691
FC Krasnodar
5th in Premier Liga · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctDLokomotiv Russia Premier League1979
- 10 OctLZenit Russia Premier League2002
- 17 SepDFC Orenburg Russia Premier League1994
- 13 SepDAkron Russia Premier League2047
- 5 SepDKrylia Sovetov Russia Premier League2067
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moskva | 5 /10 | 27.0 | 0% | 0% | 63% | 15th |
| FC Krasnodar | 22 /11 | 55.6 | 6% | 72% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative