Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11
Rodez vs Dunkerque
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez
Rodez host Dunkerque on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rodez 44%, draw 28%, Dunkerque 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rodez €644K, Dunkerque €539K.
- Style contrast in possession (Ligue 2): Rodez rank #19 of 19, Dunkerque #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rodez goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Rodez 1659 · Dunkerque 1629
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rodez · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1663
Dunkerque · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1681
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rodez
17th in Ligue 2 · 7 pts from 8
- 10 OctLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21671
- 18 SepLNancy France Ligue 21633
- 11 SepLGrenoble France Ligue 21680
- 5 SepLMetz France Ligue 21673
- 28 AugDPAU France Ligue 21655
Dunkerque
10th in Ligue 2 · 11 pts from 9
- 17 OctWNantes France Ligue 21570
- 9 OctLAnnecy France Ligue 21579
- 18 SepLPAU France Ligue 21585
- 12 SepWSaint Etienne France Ligue 21519
- 4 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21570
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez | 7 /8 | 44.0 | <1% | 6% | 8% | 11th |
| Dunkerque | 11 /9 | 45.6 | <1% | 8% | 5% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Rodez: direct (how Didier Santini plays) · Dunkerque: possession-based (how Albert Sánchez Saura plays)