Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10
Roda 1–1 Jong PSV U21
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Parkstad Limburg, Kerkrade
RodaTeam 1603Jong PSV U21Team 1458We gave Roda 53% to win: it ended in a draw.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 21%(Roda · draw · Jong PSV U21)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Roda €356K, Jong PSV U21 €399K.
- Only 0 of Jong PSV U21's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Roda
6th in Eerste Divisie · 15 pts from 9
- 4 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1614
- 26 SepWWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1629
- 18 SepDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1674
- 12 SepWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1640
- 6 SepDMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1629
Jong PSV U21
12th in Eerste Divisie · 12 pts from 9
- 19 SepLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1509
- 11 SepLHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1549
- 31 AugDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1523
- 28 AugDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1557
- 24 AugWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1581
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 15 /9 | 55.2 | 2% | 21% | 3% | 7th |
| Jong PSV U21 | 12 /9 | 49.0 | <1% | 5% | 14% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Roda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1720
Jong PSV U21 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1785
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Roda: balanced profile (how Rob Penders plays) · Jong PSV U21: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Stijn Schaars plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.