Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
Roda vs Jong AZ
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Roda host Jong AZ on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Roda 34%, draw 29%, Jong AZ 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Roda €349K, Jong AZ €639K.
- Eerste Divisie: A. Natali is the highest-rated defender (1851).
- Only 0 of Jong AZ's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Roda goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Roda 1621 · Jong AZ 1704
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Roda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1716
Jong AZ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1754
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Roda
7th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 10
- 9 OctDJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1618
- 4 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1614
- 26 SepWWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1629
- 18 SepDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1674
- 12 SepWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1640
Jong AZ
11th in Eerste Divisie · 14 pts from 11
- 16 OctDVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1745
- 9 OctLDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1741
- 18 SepWFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1685
- 11 SepLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1694
- 5 SepWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1689
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 16 /10 | 54.5 | 1% | 13% | 2% | 7th |
| Jong AZ | 14 /11 | 56.6 | 1% | 22% | 1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Roda: balanced profile (how Rob Penders plays) · Jong AZ: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Frank Peereboom plays)