Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15
Roda vs FC Volendam
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
Roda host FC Volendam on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Roda 40%, draw 29%, FC Volendam 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Roda €398K, FC Volendam €534K.
- Home advantage makes Roda the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Roda goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Roda 1677 · FC Volendam 1688
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Roda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1796
FC Volendam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1730
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Roda
5th in Eerste Divisie · 22 pts from 12
- 27 OctWDe Graafschap Netherlands KNVB Beker1708
- 23 OctWAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1656
- 19 OctWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1624
- 9 OctDJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1618
- 4 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1614
FC Volendam
7th in Eerste Divisie · 19 pts from 12
- 27 OctLFC Eindhoven Netherlands KNVB Beker1618
- 23 OctWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1687
- 18 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1687
- 9 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1655
- 3 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1667
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 22 /12 | 60.9 | 5% | 36% | 0% | 4th |
| FC Volendam | 19 /12 | 58.7 | 2% | 26% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Roda: balanced profile (how Rob Penders plays) · FC Volendam: balanced profile (how E. van de Looi plays)