League Two · Regular Season - 15
Rochdale vs York
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Spotland Stadium, Rochdale
Rochdale host York on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Rochdale 41%, draw 29%, York 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Rochdale €366K, York €158K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Rochdale goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Rochdale 1582 · York 1579
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Rochdale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1621
York · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1602
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Rochdale
17th in League Two · 15 pts from 13
- 24 OctLAccrington ST England League Two1634
- 20 OctDGrimsby England League Two1611
- 17 OctLCrewe England League Two1587
- 10 OctDTranmere England League Two1595
- 6 OctLHuddersfield England EFL Trophy1384
York
5th in League Two · 20 pts from 13
- 27 OctLBarnet England League Two1601
- 24 OctWPort Vale England League Two1567
- 20 OctDAccrington ST England League Two1578
- 17 OctDNewport County England League Two1538
- 10 OctDNorthampton England League Two1570
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 15 /13 | 53.4 | 0% | 1% | 33% | 23rd |
| York | 20 /13 | 59.2 | 0% | 4% | 10% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based